Government laws and residential guidelines.

Nearby people group ought to consent to government laws and residential guidelines. For whatever length of time that they meet the necessities of these chances, everybody has equivalent open doors for an amazing duration. Individuals who are qualified and put forth a valiant effort for the network lead the network. Society depends on choice, except if rules are watched and nobody is harmed. Rules and guidelines are intended to ensure individuals of the general public so as to manufacture a sheltered and agreeable network.

There are two fundamental sorts of network networks, networks characterized by topographically characterized networks and geologically various factors. Instances of topographically characterized networks are networks or local locations. The accumulated houses share a typical space. Nearby economies and local organizations are likewise viewed as a component of the neighboring network. Individuals from the network are invested individuals in network wellbeing, and I am keen on this

What is a network? Parker characterizes the network as individuals who share a typical space or area, share a typical relationship, communicate with one another, and are generally utilized in the writing (Fritz, 1985). The people group comprises of shared commitments and connections connecting people to foundations and relationship systems. In most topographical networks, there is a typical association and a pretty much free network. Schools, law implementation offices, and social government assistance offices are three instances of formal associations inside the network that are especially significant for substance misuse. Guardians and understudy associations vary in structure, regular to most networks, and can assume a significant job in forestalling drug misuse. Local gatherings and individuals from the association cooperate to make, characterize, and take care of social issues by communicating with one another.The thought that the network impacts the arrangement of character is the way to Pythia Peay’s article “Soul Searching” and Winona LaDuke’s meeting. “The two creators who keep up the network introduced comparable perspectives and alternate points of view by living in the network and turning out to be individuals from the network and influencing individuals in the network.

I experienced a month to month or yearly gathering, and they accounted for themselves as networks: the Network Summit Community, the TEDx Community, the SxSW Community and the New York Tech Party Community. I have asked myself as an examination network and as a member in a considerable lot of these exercises: are these exercises really a network? What is the limit between standard social events/get-togethers/gatherings and the network? The greatest contrast is that the occasion is useful for individuals to manufacture an individual 1: 1 relationship. There might be significantly more. Then again, the intensity of the network lies in aggregate character. We view ourselves as a gathering having a place with one gathering and we confide in one another over the normal level.

Our exercises are little, however the network is enormous. As an augmentation of the occasion understanding, I made a Slack people group. Emotionally supportive network consistently. Any female business visionary or financial specialist is welcome. Despite the fact that the historical backdrop of this network is just three months, intrigue and cooperation was magnificent. As we get familiar with the necessities and requirements of this network, we will proceed to adjust and develop and keep on giving assets, data and availability on the web.

We should join our locale. Our wire network has more than 7,500 individuals, and we have another Discord channel with in excess of 1,000 individuals. On the off chance that you need to enlist on Slack (12,000 clients and engineer network landing page), if you don’t mind use @ thisis to send email address to message. The enlistment of the Public Slack is as yet shut. For increasingly significant declarations on Enigma, follow this blog and our Twitter. At the point when we construct understandings and stages to enable us to develop, our prosperity is firmly identified with our locale backing and awareness. We will effectively share the most recent data on the network and news and advancement consistently. You can assist us with promoting our task and vision on your system.

Declining Drug Abuse: Sociological Strategy for Community Social Practice W. David Watts South West Texas State University

Procedures for network based sociological practice are examined. With regards to social development of reasonable hypotheses, the job of sociologists in helping networks comprehend social issues has been examined. When the network acknowledges young people ‘substance misuse issues, the hypothesis of control and partners’ affiliation can lead sociologists who wish to work with nearby pioneers to battle sedate maltreatment. Network association, reinforce the association among guardians and different gatherings, bring down the network’s capacity to bear sedate maltreatment, fabricate support for peer avoidance

Declining Drug Abuse: Sociological Strategy for Community Social Practice W. David Watts South West Texas State University

Sample Solution

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Uses of software resources

Use whatever software resources make the most sense (Tableau, Excel, R, etc.) given that you are working with more than 500 time series.

1.Plot all the series (an advanced data visualization tool is recommended) – what type of components are visible? Are the series similar or different? Check for problems such as missing values and possible errors.

  1. Partition the series into training and validation, so that the last 4 years are in the validation period for each series. What is the logic of such a partitioning? What is the disadvantage?
  2. Generate naive forecasts for all series for the validation period. For each series, create forecasts with horizons of 1,2,3, and 4 years ahead (Ft+1, Ft+2, Ft+3, and Ft+4).
  3. Among the measures MAE, Average error, MAPE and RMSE, which are suitable if we plan to combine the results for the 518 series?
  4. For each series, compute MAPE of the naive forecasts once for the training period and once for the validation period.
  5. The performance measure used in the competition is Mean Absolute Scaled Error (MASE). Explain the advantage of MASE and compute the training and validation MASE for the naive forecasts.
  6. Create a scatterplot of the MAPE pairs, with the training MAPE on the x-axis and the validation MAPE on the y-axis. Create a similar scatter plot for validation MASE vs. MAPE. Now examine both plots. What do we learn? How does performance differ between the training and validation periods? How does performance range across series?
  7. The competition winner, Lee Baker, used an ensemble of three methods:
    • Naive forecasts multiplied by a constant trend (global/local trend: “globally tourism has grown “at a rate of 6% annually.”)
    • Linear regression
    • Exponentially-weighted linear regression
    (a) Write the exact formula used for generating the first method, in the form Ft+k=…(k=1,2,3,4).
    (b) What is the rational behind multiplying the naive forecasts by a constant? (Hint: think empirical and domain knowledge)
    (c) What should be the dependent variable and the predictors in a linear regression model for these data? Explain.
    (d) Fit the linear regression model to the first five series and compute forecast errors for the validation period.
    (e) Before choosing a linear regression, the winner described the following process
    “I examined fitting a polynomial line to the data and using the line to predict future values. I tried using first through fifth order polynomials to find that the lowest MASE was obtained using a first order polynomial (simple regression line). This best fit line was used to predict future values. I also kept the [R2] value of the fit for use in blending the results of the predictor.”
    What are two flaws in this approach?
    (f) If we were to consider exponential smoothing, what particular type(s) of exponential smoothing are reasonable candidates?
    (g) The winner concludes with possible improvements, one being “an investigation into how to come up with a blending [ensemble] method that doesn’t use as much manual tweaking would also be of benefit.” Can you suggest methods or an approach that would lead to easier automation of the ensemble step?

(h) The competition focused on minimizing the average MAPE of the next four values across all 518 series. How does this goal differ from goals encountered in practice when considering tourism demand? Which steps in the forecasting process would likely be different in a real-life tourism forecasting scenario?

Case Study Assignment #2 is based on the second case presented in Chapter 11 of the Practical Time Series Forecasting textbook (pages 215-218). This case is to practice forecasting multiple time series, all related to tourism demand. Read the information on those pages of the textbook. The data can be found in tourism_data.csv. You may also want to view the article Athanasopoulos et al. – 2011 – The tourism forecasting competition.pdf

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Incident response training.

Using a Web browser, search for “incident response training.” Look throe the first five results and identify one or two companies that offer such train Pick one company and look at the course offerings. Locate a course that train you to create a CSIRT. How many days will that course take?

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Investment management and portfolio analysis

The role of the investments in the stock market and the behavior of the investors plays a very significant role in driving the wheels of the economy.
as the stock markets are becoming more accessible and more volatile in its performance .you are required to :
1-identify the importance of the stock markets,the various investment options available to the investor
2-state the importance and function of capital markets and its significance
3-visit www.msm.gov.om website and identify the sectors and subsectors within the market.
4-identify and discuss the different types of securities traded in the muscat securities market.
5-provide a detail overview about the level of efficiency of muscat securities market based on past literature.

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