The Population Situation: An Exercise in Utilitarianism

The Population Situation: An Exercise in Utilitarianism

population growth upward curveYou are a citizen of a developing country. The year is 2025 and your country is facing massive population growth. In the last decade alone, it has seen a population growth of nearly 200 million people, and demographics forecast continued rapid growth well into the next generation.

The nation has also seen a rapid rise in industrial and commercial development, both of which are wreaking havoc on the environment. Climatologists have noted a marked increase in the levels of air and water pollution. In addition, the nation’s reliance on mono-crops has made it food-dependent on its trading partners; it can no longer feed its growing population on its own. This has resulted in some food shortages.

The most promising option the state has at present is to try to stem the tide of population growth internally.

Demographers have noted that, primarily due to a tradition of raising large families and other cultural and religious mandates, most of the state’s population growth is occurring among poorer, rural sectors. Many families are comprised of up to ten children each. In some instances, birth control is available, but simply not used. In other instances, no birth control or formal family planning education is provided. The affordability of contraception is also a concern.

Culturally, however, it has been found to be taboo to discuss family concerns publicly. Yet the state knows that it is facing an impending food, environmental, political and even international crisis if something is not done immediately.

What is the nation to do? The following policies have been proposed:

  1. The nation should provide free contraception up to/including sterilization.
  2. The nation should enact a one-child policy, and prospective parents who wish an exception will have to apply for a license.
  3. Parents should prepare an environmental impact statement for their families annually, detailing the resources used. Families who exceed allotted resources for energy, food, etc. will be fined.
  4. Expectant mothers should be required to undergo genetic testing to ensure that each child has the potential to become a productive member of society.

Part 1: Brainstorming

  • After reading “The Population Situation,” write down your initial personal response to this situation and the proposed policies. After you are finished, mark any important ideas.
  • Choose some part of your writing to refine and post to this discussion. Include references to the text to support your comments and concerns. You might want specifically to focus on the information in Chapter 5 which deals with utilitarianism. However, you may certainly look at other perspectives as well.
  • Read at least five other students’ responses and respond to at least two. Try to find someone whose ideas differ drastically from your own. Remember that open-minded examination of an opposing position is a prerequisite for intelligent argument and debate.

Continue to Parts 2 and 3.

  • Using Your Reason,

    Part 1: Utilitarianism

    In the previous chapter, you read that we may have self-serving tendencies, but

    that in all likelihood we also have the capacity for fellow-feeling, some limited form

    of altruism. That means that we can, and perhaps should, look after ourselves and

    others at the same time, as reciprocal altruism says. This is, in effect, incorporated

    into one of the most influential moral theories of all time, utilitarianism. However,

    in utilitarianism it is not only a matter of what we are capable of emotionally, but

    also a matter of what we ought to do rationally. When deciding on a moral course of

    action, some of us find it is the potential consequences of our choice that determine

    what we decide to do. Others of us see those consequences as being of minor importance when we view them in light of the question of right and wrong. A student

    of mine, when asked to come up with a moral problem we could discuss in class,

    proposed this question to ponder: Imagine that your grandmother is dying; she is

    very religious, and she asks you to promise her that you will marry within the family

    faith. Your beloved is of another faith. Do you tell her the truth, or do you make a

    false promise? This profound (and, I suspect, real-life) question makes us all wonder:

    If I think it is right to lie to Grandma, why is that? To make her last moments peaceful; what she doesn’t know won’t hurt her; why should I upset her by telling her

    the truth? Is that a good enough reason? And if I think lying to Grandma is wrong

    and refuse to do it, how do I justify making her last moments miserable? You will

    see that those of us who think lying to her is the only right choice because then she

    will die happy generally subscribe to the theory of consequentialism, in particular the

    theory of utilitarianism, the most widespread and popular form of consequentialism.

    If you think that lying is always wrong, even if it would make Grandma feel better,

    then hang in there until Chapter 6, where we discuss Kant’s moral theory. In the

    Narratives section of this chapter you’ll encounter a film that asks similar questions,

    with parallels to the “Grandma” scenario: The Invention of Lying.

    In the preceding chapter you encountered the philosopher Peter Singer, who

    claimed that we as humans are capable of caring for others as well as ourselves.

    Singer identifies himself as a utilitarian, as do numerous others today—philosophers

    as well as laypeople. (You’ll find a text by Singer in the Primary Readings section.)

    Utilitarians see as their moral guideline a rule that encourages them to make life

    bearable for as many people as possible. Perhaps we can actively do something to

    make people’s lives better, or perhaps the only thing we can do to make their lives

    better is to stay out of their way. Perhaps we can’t strive to make people happy, but

     

    Rosenstand, Nina (2012-07-01). The Moral of the Story: An Introduction to Ethics, 7th edition (Page 231). McGraw-Hill Higher Education -A. Kindle Edition.

     

    we can at least do our best to limit their misery. That way of thinking just seems the

    decent approach for many of us, and when we include ourselves among those who

    should receive a general increase of happiness and decrease of misery, then the rule

    seems attractive, simple, and reasonable. Small wonder this attitude has become the

    cornerstone of one of the most vital and influential moral theories in human history.

    Utilitarians are hard universalists in the sense that they believe there is a single

    universal moral code, which is the only one possible, and everyone ought to realize it. It is the principle of utility, or the greatest-happiness principle: When choosing a

    course of action, always pick the one that will maximize happiness and minimize unhappiness for the greatest number of people. Whatever action conforms to this rule

    will be defined as a morally right action, and whatever action does not conform to it

    will be called a morally wrong action. In this way utilitarianism proposes a clear and

    simple moral criterion: Pleasure is good and pain is bad; therefore, whatever causes

    happiness and/or decreases pain is morally right, and whatever causes pain or unhappiness is morally wrong. In other words, utilitarianism is interested in the consequences of our actions: If they are good, the action is right; if bad, the action is wrong.

    This principle, utilitarians claim, will provide answers to all real-life dilemmas.

    Are all theories that focus on the consequences of actions utilitarian? No. As we

    saw in Chapter 4, the consequences we look for may be happy consequences for ourselves alone, and in that case we show ourselves to be egoists. We may focus on the

    consequences of our actions because we believe that those consequences justify our

    actions (in other words, that the end justifies the means), but that does not necessarily imply that the consequences we hope for are good in the utilitarian sense that they

    maximize happiness for the maximum number of people. We might, for instance,

    agree with the Italian statesman Niccolò Machiavelli (1469–1527) that if the end is

    to maintain political power for oneself, one’s king, or one’s political party, that will

    justify any means one might use for that purpose, such as force, surveillance, or even

    deceit. Although this famous theory is indeed consequentialist, it does not qualify as

    utilitarian because it doesn’t have the common good as its ultimate end.

    Jeremy Bentham and the Hedonistic Calculus

    It is often tempting to say that history moves in a certain direction. For example,

    eighteenth-century Europe and America saw a general movement toward greater

    recognition of human rights and social equality, of the value of the individual, of the

    scope of human capacities, and of the need for and the right to education. During

    that period, known as the Enlightenment, rulers and scholars shared a staunch belief

    that human reason, rationality, held the key to the future—to the blossoming of the

    sciences as well as to social change. That period is, appropriately, also referred to as

    the Age of Reason, not so much because people were particularly rational at the time

    as because reason was the social, scientific, and philosophical ideal .

    Perhaps, then, it is tempting to say that civilization moved toward an appreciation

    of human rationality, but it would be more appropriate to say that it was moved along

    by the thoughts of certain thinkers. Such a mover was the English jurist and philosopher Jeremy Bentham. Box 5.1 provides you with a brief introduction to Bentham.

     

    Rosenstand, Nina (2012-07-01). The Moral of the Story: An Introduction to Ethics, 7th edition (Page 232). McGraw-Hill Higher Education -A. Kindle Edition.

     

    Act and Rule Utilitarianism

    In the twentieth century it became clear to philosophers attracted to utilitarianism

    that there were severe problems inherent in the idea that a morally right act is an

    act that makes as many people as possible happy. One flaw is that, as we saw previously, it is conceivable many people will achieve much pleasure from the misery of

    a few others, and even in situations where people don’t know that their happiness is

    achieved by the pain of others, that is still an uncomfortable thought. It is especially

    so if one believes in the Golden Rule (as John Stuart Mill did), which states that we

    should do for others what we would like done for ourselves and refrain from doing

    to others what we would not like done to ourselves. Mill himself was aware of the

    problem and allowed that in the long run a society in which a majority abuses a

     

    Rosenstand, Nina (2012-07-01). The Moral of the Story: An Introduction to Ethics, 7th edition (Page 260). McGraw-Hill Higher Education -A. Kindle Edition.

     

    minority is not a good society. That still means we have to explain why the first cases

    of happiness occurring from the misery of others are wrong, even before they have

    established themselves as a pattern with increasingly bad consequences. In a sense,

    Mill tried to address the problem, suggesting that utilitarianism be taken as a general

    policy to be applied to general situations. He did not, however, develop the idea

    further within his own philosophy.

    Others have taken up the challenge and suggested it is just that particular formulation of utilitarianism which creates the problem; given another formulation, the

    problem disappears. If we stay with the classical formulation, the principle of utility

    goes like this: Always do whatever act will create the greatest happiness for the greatest

    number of people. In this version we are stuck with the problems we saw earlier; for

    example, the torture of innocents may bring about great pleasure for a large group

    of people. The Russian author Dostoyevsky explored this thought in his novel The

    Brothers Karamazov: Suppose your happiness, and everyone else’s, is bought by the

    suffering of an innocent child? (We look more closely at this idea in the Narratives

    section.) It is not hard to see this as a Christian metaphor, with Jesus’ suffering as

    the condition of happiness for humans, but there is an important difference: Jesus

    was a volunteer; an innocent child is not. In any event, a utilitarian, by definition,

    would have to agree that if a great deal of suffering could be alleviated by putting an

    innocent person through hell, then doing so would be justified. Putting nonhuman

    animals or entire populations of humans through hell would also be justified. The

    glorious end (increased happiness for a majority) will in any event justify the means,

    even if the means violate these beings’ right to life or to fair treatment.

    Suppose we reformulate utilitarianism. Suppose we say, Always do whatever type

    of act will create the greatest happiness for the greatest number of people. What is the

    result? If we set up a one-time situation, such as the torture of an innocent person

    for the sake of others’ well-being, it may work within the first formulation. But if we

    view it as a type of situation—one that is likely to recur again and again because we

    have now set up a rule for such types of situations—it becomes impermissible: The

    consequences of torturing many innocent people will not bring about great happiness for anyone in the long run. Is this, perhaps, what Mill was trying to say? This

    new formulation is referred to as rule utilitarianism, and it is advocated by many modern utilitarians who wish to distance themselves from the uncomfortable implications of the classical theory, now referred to as act utilitarianism. If this new version is

    used, they say, we can focus on the good consequences of a certain type of act rather

    than on the singular act itself. It may work once for a student to cheat on a final, but

    cheating as a rule is not only dangerous (the student herself is likely to be found out)

    but also immoral to the rule utilitarian, because very bad consequences would occur

    if everyone were to cheat. Professors would get wise in no time, and nobody would

    graduate. Students and professors would be miserable. Society would miss out on a

    great many well-educated college graduates. The Golden Rule is in this way fortified:

    Don’t do something if you can’t imagine it as a rule for everybody, because a rule not

    suited for everyone can have no good overall consequences.

    Some critics have objected that not everything we do can be made into a rule

    with good consequences. After all, many of the things we like to do are unique to

     

    Rosenstand, Nina (2012-07-01). The Moral of the Story: An Introduction to Ethics, 7th edition (Page 261). McGraw-Hill Higher Education -A. Kindle Edition.

     

    us, and why should we assume that just because one person likes to collect movie

    memorabilia, the world would be happier if everyone collected movie memorabilia?

    That is not the way it is supposed to work, say the rule utilitarians. You have to

    specify that the rule is valid for people under similar circumstances, and you have to

    specify what exceptions you might want to make. It may be morally good to make

    sure you are home in time for dinner if you have a family to come home to but not

    if you are living by yourself. And the moral goodness of being there in time for dinner depends on there not being something of greater importance that you should

    see to. Such things might be a crisis at work, a medical emergency, extracurricular

    activities, walking the dog, seeing your lover, watching a television show all the way

    to the end, talking on the phone, or whatever you choose. They may not all qualify

    as good exceptions, but you should specify in your rule which ones are acceptable.

    Once you have created such a rule, the utilitarian ideal will work, say the rule utilitarians; it will make more people happy and fewer people unhappy in the long run.

    If it doesn’t, then you just have to rework the rule until you get it right.

    The problem with this approach is that it may be asking too much of people. Are

    we likely to ponder the consequences of whatever it is we want to do every time we

    are about to take action? Are we likely to envision everyone doing the same thing?

    Probably not. Even if it is wrong to make numerous private phone calls from a company phone, we think it won’t make much difference if one person makes private

    calls as long as nobody else does. As long as most people comply, we can still get

    away with breaking the rule without creating bad consequences. Even so, we are in

    the wrong, because a healthy moral theory will not set “myself” up as an exception

    to the rule just because “I’m me and I deserve it.” This, as philosopher James Rachels

    has pointed out, is as much a form of discrimination as racism and sexism are. We

    might call it “me-ism,” but we already have a good word for it, egoism, and we already

    know that that is unacceptable.

    This addition to utilitarianism, that one ought to look for rules that apply to

    everyone, is for many a major step in the right direction. Rule utilitarianism certainly was not, however, the first philosophy to ask, What if everybody did what

    you intend to do? Although just about every parent must have said that to her or

    his child at some time or other, the one person who is credited with putting it into

    a philosophical framework is the German philosopher Immanuel Kant. There is one

    important difference between the way Kant asks the question and the way it has later

    been developed by rule utilitarians, though. Rule utilitarianism asks, What will be

    the consequences of everybody doing what you intend to do? Kant asks, Could you

    wish for it to be a universal law that everyone does what you intend to do? We look

    more closely at this difference in the next chapter.

     

    Rosenstand, Nina (2012-07-01). The Moral of the Story: An Introduction to Ethics, 7th edition (Page 262). McGraw-Hill Higher Education -A. Kindle Edition.

The Case Of Artifact

This writing styles could be called “Academic Listserve discourse”

write as paragraphs  300 words  telling your perspective and addressing the following issues of the case

the case of the missing artifact

For his own aesthetic purposes, Marcus Randolph had collected Pueblo Indian arts and crafts for many years before becoming an anthropologist. Randolph’s fieldwork sites for ten years were located in Latin America. However, as a result of personal contacts, he was asked to conduct a brief ethnohistorical study in one of the Rio Grande pueblos. As his study progressed, he learned that an important item had been missing for about 20 years from the collection of paraphernalia used by one of the religious leaders in the community. According to this individual, ceremonies had never been complete since the item had disappeared. Crop failures and other community problems were partially attributed to this loss.

After obtaining a full description from the religious leader and checking this against information about the item with colleagues in local museums and universities, Randolph realized that there was a good chance that the item in question was at least similar to, if not identical to, one he had purchased 15 years previously from a trading post.

Randolph’s Dilemma: Should he offer the item in his possession to the religious leader? Should he even show the item to the religious leader? Or, should he simply make a note regarding the missing religious piece and not disclose his personal possession to anyone in the community?

Statistics Homework (Uses R Statistical Software)

STATISTICS 462 – Summer 2016 Homework 3

DUE Friday, July 15th

Unless otherwise stated, you can use R for any of the calculations, but make sure you include your code. Your code should not be a copy of anyone else’s! Any code you turn in should be well organized and commented so the grader can understand your answers.

All programming questions should be submitted to the dropbox on ANGEL for this assignment as a .pdf file using the naming convention HWNum_FirstInitialLastName.pdf. For example, John Doe would submit a file titled HW1_JDoe.pdf for the first assignment. Your answer to programming questions should include both code and a description of your result. I recommend using R-markdown for writing up your answers. A template for writing up an assignment in R-markdown can be found on ANGEL. R-markdown files can be compiled directly within R-Studio. Alternatively, answers may be saved in a word document or LaTeX, and converted into a .pdf file.

Non-coding questions can either be written and submitted in the same file as your coding questions using LaTeX typesetting (see https://latex-project.org/intro.html) or they may be handwritten and turned in separately during class.

1. Download the data1.Rdata dataset from ANGEL, and load it into R using load(“data1.Rdata”). This data contains two columns x and y

(a) Perform an EDA for this data.

(b) Fit a simple linear regression model to this data using y as the response and x as the covariate. Report your estimates.

(c) Assuming the stronger set of SLR assumptions presented in class, perform any relevant diagnostics to test those model assumptions. Comment on what you observe.

(d) Which modeling assumptions may be violated for this data?

(e) Describe and apply techniques presented in class to alleviate the modeling violations that you found. Justify all modeling steps.

(f) Present the estimates for your final model and interpret the regression parameters.

2. Load the automobile metrics data from “https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/machine-learning- databases/auto-mpg/auto-mpg.data”. You can use the following R-code to load the data.

 

 

dat <- read.table(paste(“https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/”, “machine-learning-databases/”, “auto-mpg/auto-mpg.data”, sep = “”),

header = FALSE, colClasses = c(“numeric”, “numeric”,”numeric”, “numeric”,

“numeric”, “numeric”, “numeric”, “numeric”, “factor”),

na.strings = “?”) colnames(dat) <- c(“mpg”, “cylinders”,”displacement”,

“horsepower”,”weight”, “acceleration”, “modyr”, “origin”,”name”)

attach(dat)

(a) Do some brief EDA for this data.

(b) Fit a simple linear regression model with mpg as the response and horsepower as the predictor.

(c) Repeat parts (c) – (f) from question 1 for this data.

The Case Of The Missing Artifact

WRITE 300 WORDS ADDRESSING THE FOLLOWING ISSUES

It’s not an essay assignment it should have an opinion about the case

 

The Case of the Missing Artifact

 

For his own aesthetic purposes, Marcus Randolph had collected Pueblo Indian arts and crafts for many years before becoming an anthropologist. Randolph’s fieldwork sites for ten years were located in Latin America. However, as a result of personal contacts, he was asked to conduct a brief ethnohistorical study in one of the Rio Grande pueblos. As his study progressed, he learned that an important item had been missing for about 20 years from the collection of paraphernalia used by one of the religious leaders in the community. According to this individual, ceremonies had never been complete since the item had disappeared. Crop failures and other community problems were partially attributed to this loss.

After obtaining a full description from the religious leader and checking this against information about the item with colleagues in local museums and universities, Randolph realized that there was a good chance that the item in question was at least similar to, if not identical to, one he had purchased 15 years previously from a trading post.

Randolph’s Dilemma: Should he offer the item in his possession to the religious leader? Should he even show the item to the religious leader? Or, should he simply make a note regarding the missing religious piece and not disclose his personal possession to anyone in the community?