Health Insurance Matriz

Health Insurance Matrix

HCS/235 Version 7

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Health Insurance Matrix

As you learn about health care delivery in the United States, it is necessary to understand the various models of health insurance to develop important foundational knowledge as you progress through the course and for your role as a future health care worker. The following matrix is designed to help you develop that knowledge and assist you in understanding how health care is financed and how health insurance influences patients and providers. Fill in the following matrix. Each box must contain responses between 50 and 100 words and use complete sentences.

Model Describe the model How is the care paid or financed when this model is used? What is the structure behind this model? Is it a gatekeeper, open-access, or combination of both? What are the benefits for providers in using this model? What are the challenges for providers in using this model?
Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) . A type of health insurance plan that usually limits coverage to care from doctors who work for or contract with the HMO. It generally won’t cover out-of-network care except in an emergency. An HMO may require you to live or work in its service area to be eligible for coverage. HMOs often provide integrated care and focus on prevention and wellness.

Health maintenance organizations represent “pre-paid” or “capitated” insurance plans in which individuals or their employers pay a fixed monthly fee for services instead of a separate charge for each visit or service. The monthly fees remain the same, regardless of types or levels of services provided. Services are provided by physicians who are employed by, or under contract with, the HMO. You’ll select a Primary Care Physician who will be the first point of contact for your healthcare. You are encouraged to build a strong relationship with your PCP because they will connect you to specialists or other health care providers. Your PCP will be able to see the total picture of your overall health. With an HMO plan, your out-of-pocket medical costs and monthly premiums will generally be lower than with other types of plans. If you are someone who doesn’t see a lot of specialists or would like having your care coordinated through a PCP, then you might save more money with an HMO plan. Tight controls can make it more difficult to get specialized care

As an HMO member, you must choose a primary care physician (PCP). Your PCP provides your general medical care and must be consulted before you seek care from another physician or specialist. This screening process helps to reduce costs both for the HMO and for HMO members, but it can also lead to complications if your PCP doesn’t provide the referral you need

Preferred Provider Model . A Medicare PPO Plan is a type of Medicare Advantage Plan (Part C) offered by a private insurance company. In a PPO Plan, you pay less if you use doctors, hospitals, and other health care providers that belong to the plan’s network . You pay more if you use doctors, hospitals, and providers outside of the network Rather than prepaying for medical care, PPO members pay for services as they are rendered. The PPO sponsor (employer or insurance company) generally reimburses the member for the cost of the treatment, less any co-payment percentage. In some cases, the physician may submit the bill directly to the insurance company for payment. The insurer then pays the covered amount directly to the healthcare provider, and the member pays his or her co-payment amount. The price for each type of service is negotiated in advance by the healthcare providers and the PPO sponsor(s). Free choice of healthcare provider

PPO members are not required to seek care from PPO physicians. However, there is generally strong financial incentive to do so. For example, members may receive 90% reimbursement for care obtained from network physicians but only 60% for non-network treatment. In order to avoid paying an additional 30% out of their own pockets, most PPO members choose to receive their healthcare within the PPO network.

Out-of-pocket costs generally limited

Healthcare costs paid out of your own pocket (e.g., deductibles and co-payments) are limited. Typically, out-of-pocket costs for network care are limited to $1,200 for individuals and $2,100 for families. Out-of-pocket costs for non-network treatment are typically capped at $2,000 for individuals and $3,500 for families. And they have a free choice of healthcare provider.

More paperwork and expenses than HMOs

As a PPO member, you may have to fill out paperwork in order to be reimbursed for your medical treatment. Additionally, most PPOs have larger co-payment amounts than HMOs, and you may be required to meet a deductible. Less coverage for treatment provided by non-PPO physicians

As mentioned previously, there is a strong financial incentive to use PPO network physicians.

Point-of-Service Model A Point of Service (POS) plan is a type of managed healthcare system that combines characteristics of the HMO and the PPO. Like an HMO, you pay no deductible and usually only a minimal co-payment when you use a healthcare provider within your network. You also must choose a primary care physician who is responsible for all referrals within the POS network. If you choose to go outside the network for healthcare, POS coverage functions more like a PPO.   No “gatekeeper” for non-network care

If you choose to go outside the POS network for treatment, you are free to see any doctor or specialist you choose without first consulting your primary care physician (PCP). Of course, you will pay substantially more out-of-pocket charges for non-network care.

POS coverage allows you to maximize your freedom of choice. Like a PPO, you can mix the types of care you receive. There is no minimal co-payment. Also when you choose to use network providers, there is generally no deductible. As well as no healthcare cost paid out of your own pocket Substantial co-payment for non-network care

As in a PPO, there is generally strong financial incentive to use POS network physicians. For example, your co-payment may be only $10 for care obtained from network physicians, but you could be responsible for up to 40% of the cost of treatment provided by non-network doctors. Thus, if your longtime family doctor is outside of the POS network, you may choose to continue seeing her, but it will cost you more.

Provider Sponsored Organization A Provider-Sponsored Organization (PSO) is a type of managed care plan that is operated by a group of doctors and hospitals that form a network of providers within which you must stay to receive coverage for your care. People with Medicare can choose to get their Medicare benefits through a PSO. PSO receives a fixed monthly payment to provide care for Medicare beneficiaries. PSOs may be developed as for-profit or not-for-profit entities of which at least 51 percent must be owned and governed by health care providers (physicians, hospitals or allied health professionals). PSOs may be organized as either public or private entities The gatekeeper would be Medicare in the United States can be defined as ‘ A group of doctors, hospitals, and other health care providers that agree to give health care to Medicare beneficiaries for a set amount of money from Medicare every month. This type of managed care plan is run by the doctors and providers themselves, and not by an insurance company    
High Deductible Health Plans and Savings Options A health savings account (HSA) is a tax-advantaged medical savings account available to taxpayers in the United States who are enrolled in a high-deductible health plan (HDHP). The funds contributed to an account are not subject to federal income tax at the time of deposit.   You have the freedom to see any health care provider, including specialists, without a referral, although you will save money if you see in-network providers. This is especially important since instead of a copay, you will be paying the full cost of a doctor’s visit or service until you satisfy your deductible Others can contribute to your HSA. Contributions can come from various sources, including you, your employer, a relative and anyone else who wants to add to your HSA. High deductible plans also allow you to meet health plan stipulations that your community may have. By having yourself and your family covered with health insurance, you can be in compliance with specific laws that require insurance coverage. You have high deductible requirement. Even though you are paying less in premiums each month, it can be difficult – even with money in an HSA – to come up with the cash to meet a high deductible.

You have unexpected healthcare costs. Your healthcare costs could exceed what you had planned for, and you may not have enough money saved in your HSA to cover expenses.

 

Cite your sources below. For additional information on how to properly cite your sources check out the Reference and Citation Generator resource in the Center for Writing Excellence.

References

Copyright © 2016 by University of Phoenix. All rights reserved.

McDonald’s Case Study

McDonald’s case study

Write a five page paper in which you:

  1. Outline the talent management program that led to success for the company.
  2. Identify strengths of the program and how they led to goal accomplishment.
  3. Describe opportunities for improvement in the talent management planning process.
  4. Create at least two (2) more effective approaches to meet the talent management challenges in the future.
  5. Use at least five (5) quality academic resources in this assignment. Note: Wikipedia and other Websites do not quality as academic resources.

Your assignment must follow these formatting requirements:

  • Be typed, double spaced, using Times New Roman font (size 12), with one-inch margins on all sides; citations and references must follow APA or school-specific format. Include a cover page containing the title of the assignment, the student’s name, the professor’s name, the course title, and the date. The cover page and the reference page are not included in the required assignment page length.
  • NO PLAGIARISM WILL BE CHECKED THROUGH TURNITIN. i WILL PROVIDES SOME CASE STUDY INFORMATION AFTER I SELECT BIDFor most of its fifty-four years of existence, McDonald’s has been quite successful growing its business while utilizing a decentralized approach to managing its global workforce. As the size, complexity, and global character of the business have continued to grow (to more than thirty-thousand restaurants in 118 countries serving fifty-five million customers per day), however, it became increasingly apparent that sustained success requires the development of more consistent and disciplined approaches to talent management and development. In response to this recognized need, McDonald’s has taken a number of steps, starting in 2001, that have enhanced its capabilities for developing local leadership talent and ensuring management continuity throughout its global system. This chapter will provide an overview of how McDonald’s system for developing its management talent throughout the world has evolved over the past eight years and will focus on describing the design, roll-out, initial impacts, and continued refinement of five major initiatives that have been introduced to enhance this system since 2001.

    A number of factors led the organization to the conclusion that enhancements in its talent management and development system were needed. First, after many years of outstanding business results and growth, business performance began to falter. For the fourth quarter of 2002, in fact, the company declared the first loss in its history. In contrast to the significant problems surfacing in the company’s business results, however, the ratings of managers in McDonald’s performance management system were incredibly high and suggested that everyone was doing an outstanding job. More specifically, more than 90 percent of the managers were rated either “outstanding” or “excellent,” and over 75 percent were assessed as having the potential to advance to take on greater responsibilities. Senior management recognized that “something was wrong with this picture.” It was clear that the bias toward inflated ratings of both performance and potential did not align with the overall performance of the business. Furthermore, senior management noted that, despite the very high ratings of employees’ potential throughout the system, when key leadership positions actually needed to be filled, the company was frequently having difficulty finding individuals everyone could agree were truly ready for these roles.

    These factors led senior management of the company to begin to take significant actions to upgrade the company’s talent management systems and processes on a global basis. (Note: While the initiatives to enhance talent development that are described in this paper were well under way at the time, the urgency for them was painfully validated when in April of 2004, McDonald’s CEO Jim Cantalupo died suddenly and unexpectedly. Fortunately, due to the heightened attention that was being given to talent management at this time, his successor, Charlie Bell, was quickly and smoothly named to step into the CEO role. Tragically, not long after Charlie Bell was named as CEO he was diagnosed with colon cancer and died within a year. Once again McDonald’s was challenged to address the succession issue at the very top of the organization and did so by naming Jim Skinner as CEO in January of 2005.)

    Before launching into an in-depth description of McDonald’s talent management system, it is important to make clear how this system fits into McDonald’s overall business strategy and aligns with its key values. McDonald’s strategy to develop its global workforce is designed to be aligned with and support the execution of its over-arching strategic business goal, which is “to become everyone’s favorite place and way to eat.” McDonald’s has an overall “plan to win” that provides the global business with a common framework for developing tactics to reach this goal. The framework includes five key elements: (1) people, (2) place, (3) product, (4) promotion, and (5) price (see  Table 9.1 ).

    The five initiatives that have strengthened the company’s talent management system, and that will be described in this chapter, are key elements of the “people” component of the “plan to win.” They have been designed and implemented to enhance the organization’s global capability to develop and have “at the ready” the quantity and quality of leadership talent needed for effectively executing its “Plan to Win” and ensuring the company’s continued growth and success. Further, in order for these talent management initiatives to be successful, it was clear that they also needed to reflect the value that McDonald’s places on striking the right global/local balance and customer/employee focus.

    Striking the Right Global/Local Balance

    In order for McDonald’s to successfully execute its business strategy, the company has determined it needs to excel at developing and successfully implementing a balanced global/local approach in managing and developing its global workforce. While global frameworks and parameters can be used to set the stage for success and align the entire business with regard to strategy, essential tactics, and a shared company culture—at the end of the day, the actual execution of the company’s “plan to win” depends on the capability of local talent to develop and customize the elective tactics to fit their local culture and circumstances. As a business, McDonald’s success relies not only on the leverage that comes from its coherent business strategy and focus on standardizing core operations/processes but also on its ability to adapt its tactics to fit the needs and preferences of specific customers in particular regions or countries and to develop a deep connection between McDonald’s and the local communities in which it operates. This connection is reflected in McDonald’s commitment to local charities; to Ronald McDonald Houses; and, most importantly, to the very people who own, operate, and manage McDonald’s stores in any locale, country, or region. Given this, it is deemed highly important that the individuals operating the business come from, understand, and represent the communities and cultures in which the business is located.

     

    All areas of world have freedom to execute in their locales as long as they stick within the basic parameters of the “plan to win” framework by (1) developing an aligned strategy, (2) meeting customer needs within the marketplace, (3) supporting the global brand campaign—“I’m Loving It,” and (4) ensuring that their people develop and demonstrate key competencies that reflect the core elements of the company’s common culture and support its “plan to win.” In addition to having the technical skills and expertise to do their specific jobs, staff throughout McDonald’s are expected to be attentive not just to getting results but to doing so in a way that is aligned with the company’s shared global company culture and values.

    Customer and Employee Focus

    Whatever is done within McDonald’s is routinely assessed and measured against its impact on customers. Customer service and experience levels are key metrics that are embedded within the performance expectations for employees throughout the system. The company’s focus on and commitment to quality, service, cleanliness, and value (QSC&V) is strong. These variables have been shown to be strongly linked to customer expectations and loyalty. Any and all efforts to enhance the company’s global workforce management system incorporate a focus on key behaviors (customer focus and service orientation) and results-metrics (speed and quality of service, food, and environment) that deliver to customers what they value.

    McDonald’s has also paid significant attention to its employees and their development throughout its history. The company is well known for the opportunities it has given many of its people to grow with the company and to rise (over time) from working as a member of a store crew to its highest executive ranks. In addition, the company has placed strong emphasis on its managers’ ability to create a work climate within which their employees are motivated to excel, give their best, and help to make McDonald’s “everyone’s favorite place and way to eat.” Since 1997, McDonald’s has used its commitment survey to assess the extent to which the desired work climate is being created throughout the company. This survey gathers employee feedback on a wide variety of specific management behaviors and practices that have been shown to be linked to employees’ personal satisfaction and commitment and to the company’s business success. More specifically, the survey assesses employee satisfaction with such factors as the support and recognition they receive, the extent to which their skills are utilized and developed, their workload, the degree of their empowerment, resource availability to get the job done, the quality of supervision/leadership, and their compensation /benefits. A manager’s scores on the commitment survey are one of many important factors considered in rating his or her effectiveness and potential for advancement. In addition, turnover and tenure measures are used to evaluate the effectiveness of managers—especially in retaining top talent. The global workforce initiatives described later in this chapter were developed so that they reflect both the customer and employee focus described above.

    EVOLUTION OF THE TALENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM: KEY INITIATIVES AND ENHANCEMENTS

    As mentioned earlier, five separate initiatives were developed and have been implemented since 2001 to enhance McDonald’s talent management and development processes and support the organization’s goal of meeting the global leadership needs of the business. These include: (1) the redesign of the performance development system (PDS) for all staff positions throughout McDonald’s; (2) introduction of the talent review process for all officer-level positions; (3) the development and roll-out of a series of accelerated development programs beginning with the Leaders at McDonald’s Program (LAMP) launched in 2003 to enhance the development of high-potential individuals for officer level positions; followed by (4) the introduction of the McDonald’s Leadership Institute; and (5) the design and launch of the Global Leadership Development Program.

    Initiative 1: Performance Development System Redesign

    Prior to 2001, McDonald’s performance development system was comprised of (1) an “MBO-based” annual performance plan that measured performance against established annual objectives but included no assessment of how these results were achieved (that is, leadership behaviors); (2) a 5-point rating scale of overall performance ranging from “outstanding” to “unsatisfactory”; (3) a personal developmental planning element based on a McDonald’s-wide competency framework that included nine core competencies and four leadership competencies as well as a menu of “elective” competencies that could be chosen/applied as relevant in specific functional areas (see Table 9.2); (4) a three-level assessment of career potential that combined performance and demonstrated leadership competencies; and (5) an annual compensation system element tied to the results of the annual performance rating.

    Competency Category Specific Competencies
    Core Competencies  
      Change Orientation  
      Communicates Effectively  
      Continuous Learning  
      Customer Focus  
      Drives to Excel  
      Holds Self and Others Accountable  
      Problem Solving and Innovation  
      Teamwork and Collaboration  
      Values and Respects Others  
      Leadership Competencies  
      Coaches and Develops  
      Maximizes Team Effectiveness  
      Maximizes Business Performance  
    Strategic Perspective  
      Functional Competency Menu (elective)  
      Job Knowledge  
      Leverages Resources  
      Decisiveness  
      Gathers and Uses Information  
      Impact and Influence  
      Negotiation and Conflict Resolution  
      Uses Technology Appropriately  
      Vendor Management  

    While the process for rating performance and potential was not unusual in structure and design, the outputs of the system reflected the culture of McDonald’s at that time. Specifically, there was significant rating inflation for both annual performance (98 percent of managers were rated either “outstanding” or “excellent”) and potential (78 percent of managers were rated as having the potential to advance in the business at least one level). Because there was significant inflation in such ratings, there was little meaningful performance and compensation differentiation. Further, since almost everyone was rated not only as being an excellent/outstanding performer but also as having advancement potential, it made differentiation for purposes of realistic succession planning very difficult.

    Senior management realized that because the business had been so successful for so long, a culture of entitlement may have set in. This was exemplified by many employees believing that their past success and associated rewards would guarantee their future success/rewards rather than their having to earn success each day with every customer. Senior management believed it was important to change the culture in order to help the organization become better able to face the challenging realities of a more competitive global marketplace. As one approach to signaling the need for this change to the organization, the top management team at McDonald’s asked human resources to redesign the performance development system in order to (1) place a stronger focus on accountability for results, (2) increase performance differentiation, and (3) enhance openness to change and innovation.

    The redesign and enhancement of the system (designed for all staff throughout the company—not just officers) rolled out in 2001 included the following changes:

    1. The addition of six key expected leadership behaviors termed “performance drivers” (see  Table 9.3 ) as an element of how annual performance will be assessed so that managers would be measured not just on the “what” of their accomplishments but also on “how” they accomplished them. The performance drivers were very much like “competencies” but were written to measure the actual application of those competencies on the job versus measuring one’s level of capability. Further, these “performance drivers” were used as an additional key lever by top management to signal the importance of needed culture change along certain dimensions identified as critical to enable the organization to compete more effectively in the marketplace (greater accountability and performance differentiation, more innovation, etc.).

    2. The introduction of a 4-point rating scale (“exceptional performance,” “significant performance,” “needs improvement,” and “unsatisfactory” to replace the 5-point scale) with a rating distribution guideline of 20-70-10 percent for each category, respectively (the last category of 10 percent includes both “needs improvement” and “unsatisfactory”). The new 4-point rating scale and distribution guidelines were put in place to help address the rating inflation problem.

    3. A new incentive compensation plan that tied to the improved performance differentiation and ensured that those rated in the “top 20 percent” were receiving significantly higher compensation than those who did not.

    4. A revised assessment of potential that utilized a combination of performance, performance drivers, position-specific competencies as criteria supported by a facilitated calibration roundtable process. This revised assessment of potential was also accompanied with a guideline that stated that no more than 20 to 25 percent (this guideline was set based on internal discussions regarding what was realistic as well as some external benchmarking done with outside companies) of managers in any given year were expected to be assessed as “ready” immediately for a promotion to the next-higher level and “ready within two years” for such a promotion.

     

    Performance Drivers Sample Behaviors
    Setting Clear Objectives with Results Accountability Involves establishing high standards for performance, well- defined objectives and targets, and clear priorities for what must be accomplished and taking full personal responsibility for doing what it takes to deliver promised results. For people managers, it includes ensuring that direct reports understand what is expected of them and receive regular feedback on their performance as well as clearly differentiating between top and lower contributors when evaluating performance.
    Coaching and Valuing People Involves treating people with dignity and respect at all times, demonstrating honesty and integrity in all dealings with others; ensuring that the highest quality people are being selected for the organization and are actively provided with opportunities to use their capabilities to contribute to the business as well as grow and develop their potential to do more in the future.
    Strategic Focus and Business Planning Involves being able to develop an effective organizational business vision and strategy that are based on sound facts and that are well thought through, communicating them so that others understand and commit to them, and translating the vision and strategy into a clear overall work plan as well as into the individual goals and priorities that will guide and align the efforts of people at all levels of the organization.
    Acting in the Best Interest of the System Involves demonstrating consistent commitment to work together as a team to achieve the vision and what is in the best interest of the system. Shares information and resources with others to contribute to their success. Acts to break down silos or boundaries in order to help the business maximize the leverage from its combined resources.
    Open Communications Involves demonstrating strong “listening for understanding skills” and valuing diverse opinions. Conveys information and ideas in an open, articulate, and timely manner that enables others to get their jobs done. Communicates in a highenergy, positive way that motivates people to achieve.
    Embraces Change/ Innovation Involves being open to new ideas and innovation and having not only the flexibility to adapt to change but also the energy and drive to initiate and lead it.

     

    New System Roll-Out—Global vs. Local Emphasis  How this new system was rolled out globally reflected the balance between the global and local approaches to workforce management. When it was introduced at a global HR meeting in June 2003, it was clear that certain elements of the new system redesign were not suited for the foreign cultures and legal structures that existed in certain countries. As a result, all 119 countries were given latitude (labeled “freedom within the framework”) to make certain changes (for example, the labels given to the three rating categories), while they were not permitted to customize other aspects of the process (such as rating distribution guidelines or the use of performance drivers in the ratings). Providing this flexibility made a key difference in how well the new process was accepted by each country and, while many countries would have preferred to continue to use their own performance plans and processes, most willingly began the implementation of the new system and accepted the value of following the framework.

    Results of Implementation  As with any major change that impacts employees’ individual performance ratings and compensation, the introduction of the new performance development system (PDS) was difficult and met some expected resistance. While this resistance was directed, in part, to specific concerns regarding particular changes made in the system (the number and labels for rating categories, changes in format, etc.), people’s reactions also reflected the reality that the revisions in the performance management process were designed to help drive what were believed to be some needed changes in the company’s management culture (enhanced accountability, greater differentiation in evaluating performance, increased emphasis on openness to change/innovation, etc.). At the same time, leaders of McDonald’s wanted to ensure that the focus on people and people development was not diminished.

    The introduction of the new PDS system impacted significantly on the distribution of ratings for both performance and advancement potential. For example, in 2000 the vast majority of U.S.-based officers and managing directors received ratings (“outstanding” or “excellent”) that were above the mid-point (“good”) on the 5-point rating scale. In 2001, however, only 25 percent were given an “exceptional contributor” rating (this rating is for individuals who are judged to have “achieved results that far exceed expectations and requirements of the job in the face of challenging demands during the performance cycle and who have done so while modeling the values and behaviors expected of McDonald’s leaders”). Most individuals received a “significant contributor” rating (for “consistently meeting and perhaps exceeding some expectations and planned objectives while demonstrating the McDonald’s values and behaviors”) that was perceived to be average because it was the mid-point on a 3-point rating scale. For the first time in their careers, many managers (at the corporate officer and managing director levels) had received ratings that were not labeled “exceptional” or “outstanding,” and this was a shock and source of discomfort to them. In addition, a relatively small proportion of individuals were actually rated below the mid-point on the scale (“lower contributor/needs improvement” or “unacceptable performer”), which was highly unusual in McDonald’s culture. It should be noted, however, that the very year the new PDS was introduced, McDonald’s business performance was well below expectations and the stock price hit new lows. This softened the blow a bit, as managers could see that change was necessary and that McDonald’s was operating in a different world with new challenges that needed to be met in order to get the business turned around and once again moving in a positive direction.

    As the new system has continued to be used, the proportion of individuals in each of the categories described above has stayed in a similar range. We have discovered along the way that it is a challenge to keep the distributions of individuals across performance rating categories consistent across levels of the organization. In other words, ratings creep seems to be a natural tendency as you move, for example, from the VP to the SVP level. What we have done to address this is to emphasize the importance of individuals being compared relative to those in the peer group at their specific level of the organization.

    Ratings of Potential  Consistent with this more critical differentiation of performance, changes in distributions were also seen in the company’s ratings of individual potential for continued advancement. In 2001, approximately three-quarters of U.S.-based officers and managing directors had been rated as having the potential to be promoted at least one more level. With a much more critical and challenging succession planning review process instituted, 2002 ratings of this group’s future potential were far more realistic (the proportion evaluated as having clear potential for further advancement from their current officer-level positions was closer to 15 to 20 percent). This proportion has remained in this same relative range since that time.

    Lessons Learned  While the process was difficult to do, our results would suggest that it’s sometimes easier to “bite the bullet” and make a significant change all at once rather than trying to make incremental changes. The PDS change enacted in 2001 effectively lowered the ratings of more than 50 percent of McDonald’s managers on a year-over-year basis. This was all done in a single year, but by year two, the organization had adapted to the new process. Other key lessons learned in implementing this initiative included the importance of: soliciting input from around the globe prior to program design finalization (the finalized system has been well accepted and has worked smoothly across widely varying geographic/cultural locations) and keeping the centralized, structured processes as simple as possible. Finally, we have purposefully given the organization time to become familiar with the new system and have resisted any significant “tweaking” of it. Some changes to further streamline the system continue to be made, but they have not been major.

    Initiative 2: Global Succession Planning and Development Process

    Design of the Global Talent Review Process  Prior to the launch of the current global talent review process, succession planning had been conducted at McDonald’s for many years. Prior to 2003, this process was less formal, less structured, and less consistent across various areas of the world, yet it probably met the needs of the business, which had an outstanding record of growth of profitability. As business growth slowed and competition increased, however, there was a recognized need to enhance the focus on leadership talent to align better with the new global business challenges.

    Beginning in 2003 it was decided that the talent management process at the leadership level needed to be more rigorous and also more transparent. To achieve this rigor and transparency, the presidents of each area of the world (U.S., Europe, Asia/Pacific/ Middle East/Africa, and Latin America), along with each corporate staff head (EVP-HR, EVP-Finance/CFO), were given a talent management template that consisted of a series of questions about their leadership talent requirements and the depth and diversity of their talent (see  Exhibit 9.1 ). They were asked to prepare answers to these questions for their respective organizations. It was made clear that these questions would form the basis of the in-depth talent reviews that each of them would have with his or her immediate superior, who at that time was either the vice chair or the chief operating officer.

    EXHIBIT 9.1.  Talent Review Template Questions

     

    The talent reviews were held as planned in 2003 and resulted in a much more realistic and rigorous assessment of the “health” of the talent pools in each area of the world and each functional area than had been achieved previously within McDonald’s. The increased ownership that leaders were taking for the results of these reviews was reflected in the specific actions that they proactively initiated (such as accelerating the development of high-potential managers, special recruiting initiatives, etc.) to respond to the current and anticipated replacement gaps that had surfaced. The HR support team was able to analyze the overall results of these reviews and look for any organization-wide interventions that would contribute to better addressing talent needs and gaps.

     

    Talent Review Process Impact  Results of the one-year follow-up survey with executive management and HR leaders in each of the company’s four major regions yielded the following observations regarding improvements in the talent review process: (1) managers and the organization overall became much more aware of the strengths and talent gaps in each area; (2) more candid and more challenging discussions took place on talent and not only focused more crisply on strengths and development needs but also more effectively addressed when it was time to remove individuals from positions in which they are not performing and not developing; (3) more specific actions were being planned and taken to close replacement gaps and development talent in a more focused way; and (4) senior executives were placing greater overall priority on and taking personal ownership for talent management.

     

    Metrics for Assessing Quantitative Impacts  In addition to the qualitative feedback described above, a number of quantitative metrics are currently being used to assess the impact of the talent review process. These include tracking:

    • The number of officers/managing directors considered to be strong contributors and evidence that those “not meeting expectations” have specific development plans in place and/or have been replaced;

    • The number of key leadership positions for which there is at minimum one “ready now” and one “ready future” replacement;

    • Improved year-over-year diversity in the talent pool;

    • The retention rate for strong performers and high-potentials; and

    • The percentage of recommended developmental job moves (these are identified in the talent reviews ) that have actually occurred within the planned timeframe.

    As the process has continued to be used, the organization has done a better and better job each year of not only building up feeder pools (that are deeper and more diverse) but also with addressing issues with lower performers.

    Next Steps for Talent Review  While the process has not changed for the most part, it has been done in a more comprehensive manner each year. This includes doing a more in-depth analysis of who needs development, moves to enhance their experience, and a process that facilitates this movement. In 2006 we introduced comprehensive talent management plans at the major country level, which enabled us to roll-up the country plans into areas of the world plans and finally to an overall enterprise talent plan that is presented to our board of directors.

    Our current CEO, upon his appointment, declared talent management and leadership development as one of his top three priorities, and the focus on this process has never been greater. Senior management has expressed a strong desire to spend more time in this arena, and they realize that to successfully develop their talent, they must depend on their peers to provide development job opportunities (special assignments, project teams, new jobs) that cannot be provided unless people are able to move more freely across organizational boundaries.

    Additional Positive Impacts  One additional result of the analysis that was part of the talent review process was the decision to develop a global executive staffing process designed to ensure that when an opening occurred for an officer or managing director role anywhere in the world, potential candidates could be identified on a global rather than a local basis. Prior to 2003, there had been no formal process for identifying talent globally, but rather the organization with the opening would identify candidates based on their own knowledge of qualifications which, more often than not, led to a local candidate being selected. With the new global staffing process, the organization with the opening can come to the talent management organization for a list of candidates who have been identified via the talent reviews described above. As a result of this new process, there has been more cross-organizational movement that has resulted in better selections and also more development opportunities for those moving to these assignments.

    A second additional impact driven by the results of a more robust global talent review process was the decision to design a program to build up the depth and diversity of the replacement pools for several officer/MD roles and to expedite the development of the highest potentials for these roles. The global Leadership at McDonald’s Program (LAMP) was designed and is described below as the third major initiative to enhance McDonald’s Global Workforce Management System.

    Overall, the executive talent review process introduced in 2003 has not only stepped up the focus on talent management at the leadership level, but has made it more of an ongoing process, versus the episodic process that it had been previously. Our leaders all consider talent management as a high, if not their highest, priority. It’s less about a binder being constructed once a year and then put aside for another year and more about working the talent issue on an ongoing basis. It is also clear that by starting the process at the “top of the house” and having it accepted as useful and necessary, the process has been more easily implemented down through the other management layers across the organization and regions.

     

    Specific Design Considerations  Based on what had been learned in global talent reviews and in earlier training programs directed at developing high-potentials within McDonald’s, several particular areas of competency/skill gaps had been identified and were specifically targeted in the design of LAMP content. These included: (1) expanding participants’ mindset from local to regional to global; (2) enhancing participants’ ability to maximize business performance through strengthening financial acumen; and (3) enhancing participants’ innovative, “out of the box” thinking. From an organizational perspective the goals of the program included: (1) building deeper bench strength for key leadership positions; (2) shortening the ramp-up time required for newly promoted officers and obtaining quicker business results; (3) becoming more effective at developing and retaining top talent; and (4) continuing to improve the diversity profile at the officer level.

    The Leadership at McDonald’s Program (LAMP) was designed to be an integrated approach to developing high-potential talent. Using leadership development as a process to drive results, shape culture, and build leadership depth, the program accelerates the development of future leaders. With a focus on strengthening and building the capabilities of McDonald’s future leaders, the program leverages leadership development to improve performance and drive business results by:

    • Increasing the ability of participants to improve business results in their current roles as well as prepare them for achieving success at the next level;

    • Leveraging participants’ on-the-job accountabilities as opportunities to learn and develop;

    • Helping participants gain the insight needed to further develop individual leadership capabilities; and

    • Providing opportunities to build strong peer networks internally and externally by having them work closely with McDonald’s high-potential peers throughout the program and with talented management peers from other companies/industries as part of the Thunderbird Program.

    Participation  The program was piloted in 2003-2004 with an initial group of twenty high-potential directors who were nominated by their regional, divisional, or functional leadership teams. Selection criteria included:

    • Individuals considered “ready now” or “ready future” for positions at the vice-president level or higher based on results from the McDonald’s annual talent review process;

    • Succession plan gaps (priority for participation given to functions with a shortage of successors or other business priorities, such as improving the diversity profile at the officer level); and

    • Participant and boss willingness to fully commit and participate throughout the nine-month-long program.

    Group Sessions  LAMP was designed to help participants drive results in two ways: vertically (as leaders of their respective departments) and horizontally (as leadership team members). The first LAMP program had five key program components. These included: (1) executive assessment and program orientation; (2) individual development planning and executive dialogues; (3) leadership modules focused on leadership of self, team, and organization with experiential exercises to reinforce the learning; (4) a two-week executive education program with a focus on global business and culture; and (5) business improvement recommendations presented to the chairman’s and presidents’ councils. These original program components are described in greater detail in  Table 9.4 . All of the sessions were held at the company’s headquarters in Oak Brook, Illinois, with the exception of the two-week executive education component that was held at a university campus.

     

    Individual Learning Opportunities  Based on the assessment results, participants consulted with individual coaches to develop a “breakthrough business goal”—one that could truly drive business results in their areas of responsibility. Critical to this process was the linkage of personal developmental objectives to higher levels of business results. The assessment process and feedback to participants helped identify the competencies needed to enhance their contributions to the business. The development needs were then linked to the individual’s breakthrough goal. To support and encourage individual learning, the following was made available to participants: (1) individual coaching and development support—each participant was assigned a coach to discuss progress against objectives and receive objective feedback and developmental coaching throughout the program; and (2) LAMP Online!—a web-based tool that supports individual learning, facilitates dialogues about the business, and tracks the progress being made against the LAMP goals and key deliverables.

     

    Program Session Session Description Length
    Program Orientation and Executive Assessment McDonald’s contracted with a leading assessment firm to deliver the assessment process over a three-and-one- half-day period. The assessment process included the following: (1) inventories of thinking skills, personality, work style, and interests; (2) 360-degree feedback; (3) realistic work and business simulations, with immediate feedback provided after the role play or simulation; and (4) background interviews. In addition to the assessment process, participants received detailed information on the LAMP leadership framework, program goals, and key deliverables. They also had the opportunity to dialogue with senior executives. Upon completion of the assessment process, verbal feedback was provided to the participants by their assessors/coaches. A detailed written summary was provided approximately three weeks later. 4 days
    Individual Development Planning and Executive Dialogue During this session, participants received the written summaries from the assessment process. Utilizing these results, participants worked one-on-one with their bosses and coaches to create a development plan focused on driving results in their areas of the business. Utilizing a custom development plan template, participants identified the experiences, coaching, and training required to achieve their goals. In addition, two executive dialogues during this session provided an opportunity to learn more about the business and leadership through direct interaction with senior McDonald’s leaders. 2 days
    Executive Dialogue and External Thought Leader LAMP participants had another opportunity to dialogue with senior leaders during this session. A large portion of time during this session was devoted to building knowledge and skills around the critical components of high-performing teams. A number of experiential exercises were utilized to enable the participants to apply and practice their learnings as they began to form their sub-teams responsible for developing and delivering a “business improvement recommendation” to the executive councils. 2.5 days
    Executive Education Program The university consortia program brings together select groups of non-competing, globally focused companies. Each consortium program is two weeks in length and custom developed in consultation with representatives from each member firm. The university offers participants the opportunity to gain a broad understanding of global strategic issues and to strengthen their general management skills. Learning is reinforced through discussions, case studies, exercises, and simulations. 2 weeks
    Business Improvement Recommendations This session focused primarily on a large team review and feedback session for each of the four sub-team’s business improvement recommendations. Significant time was devoted to letting the sub-teams continue to develop their recommendations, with feedback, support, and coaching from an external expert in executive communications. An executive dialogue was also incorporated into this session. 2 days
    Presenting Team Recommendations and Program Wrap-Up At the conclusion of LAMP (February 2004), participants presented their business improvement recommendations to the executive leadership councils, comprised of approximately twelve senior-most executives of McDonald’s. Teams made presentations to the council members and discussed the overall impact of the program on their personal development and on their individual business results. Support from coaches, dry runs of the presentations, and group dialogue and feedback around each team’s presentation helped participants prepare for the presentations.  

     

     

    Over the past eight years, McDonald’s has taken a number of significant steps to enhance its ability to develop leadership talent and ensure greater management continuity throughout its talent management system. This chapter has described five major initiatives that have been designed and implemented to enhance the system. These included a major re-design of the company’s global performance development system, a significant enhancement of the global succession planning and development process, the design and implementation of a customized leadership development program targeted to developing high-potentials at the officer level (LAMP), and, finally, the introduction of the McDonald’s Leadership Institute and the Global Leadership Development Program. In addition to the specific positive impacts on internal metrics that have already been described (increased strength and diversity in the leadership team, greater depth/ diversity in candidates ready now for advancement, and retention of key performers), as of December 2008, McDonald’s had posted sixty-five consecutive months of positive comparable sales—the longest run in McDonald’s history—and the stock price hit an all-time high in September 2008. What the overall process described in this chapter has demonstrated is how broad-scale initiatives to develop talent—when top management owns and drives them and human resources plays the roles of partner/enabler—can be a powerful lever of culture building and change and make a valuable contribution to business success.

     

    James Intagliata, Ph.D., is president and founder of The NorthStar Group, a management consulting firm that specializes in senior-level executive assessment, individual leadership coaching, and competency-modeling for culture change. Over the past twenty years he has consulted to a diverse group of companies and senior executives and has worked extensively with McDonald’s. In addition to his consulting work, he has held faculty positions at the State University of New York at Buffalo and the University of Missouri at Kansas City and taught organizational theory and management at the graduate level. He received his Ph.D. in clinical psychology in 1976 from the State University of New York at Buffalo. His recently published articles include “Leveraging Leadership Competencies to Produce Leadership Brand: Creating Distinctiveness by Focusing on Strategy and Results” (with co-authors Dave Ulrich and Norm Smallwood) in Human Resources Planning; “McDonald’s Corporation: A Customized Leadership Development Program Targeted to Prepare Future Regional Managers” (with co-author David Small) in Best Practices in Organization Development and Change by Louis Carter and Best Practice Institute.

     

    Neal Kulick, Ph.D., has been McDonald’s vice president of global talent management since 2001. His responsibilities include executive assessment/development, executive recruitment, and succession management and planning. From 1999 to 2001 Dr. Kulick ran his own organizational consulting practice specializing in the areas of human resource effectiveness and leadership development. Prior to consulting, he served as VP of corporate human resources for Ameritech Corporation in Chicago and as a line operations manager at Michigan Bell Telephone Company in Detroit.

Strategy, Decision Making ( Harrington) Problem Chapter 11 Exercise 8

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Games, Strategies, and Decision Making

Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. Johns Hopkins University

Worth Publishers

 

 

Senior Publisher: Craig Bleyer

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First printing

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www.worthpublishers.com

 

Games, Strategies, and Decision Making

 

 

To Colleen and Grace, who as children taught me love,

and who as teenagers taught me strategy.

 

 

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vi

Joseph E. Harrington, Jr., is Professor of Economics at Johns Hopkins University. He has served on various editorial boards, including those of the RAND Journal of Economics, Foundations and Trends in Microeconomics, and the Southern Economic Journal. His research has appeared in top journals in a variety of disciplines, including economics (e.g., the American Economic Review, Journal of Political Economy, and Games and Economic Behavior), po- litical science (Economics and Politics, Public Choice), sociology (American Journal of Sociology), management science (Management Science), and psy- chology (Journal of Mathematical Psychology). He is a coauthor of Economics of Regulation and Antitrust, which is in its fourth edition.

 

 

Brief Contents

Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xv

C H A P T E R 1

Introduction to Strategic Reasoning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

C H A P T E R 2

Building a Model of a Strategic Situation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

C H A P T E R 3

Eliminating the Impossible: Solving a Game when Rationality Is Common Knowledge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55

C H A P T E R 4

Stable Play: Nash Equilibria in Discrete Games with Two or Three Players . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89

C H A P T E R 5

Stable Play: Nash Equilibria in Discrete n-Player Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117

C H A P T E R 6

Stable Play: Nash Equilibria in Continuous Games . . . 147

C H A P T E R 7

Keep ’Em Guessing: Randomized Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181

C H A P T E R 8

Taking Turns: Sequential Games with Perfect Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219

C H A P T E R 9

Taking Turns in the Dark: Sequential Games with Imperfect Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255

vii

 

 

BRIEF CONTENTS viii

C H A P T E R 1 0

I Know Something You Don’t Know: Games with Private Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291

C H A P T E R 1 1

What You Do Tells Me Who You Are: Signaling Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 325

C H A P T E R 1 2

Lies and the Lying Liars That Tell Them: Cheap Talk Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359

C H A P T E R 1 3

Playing Forever: Repeated Interaction with Infinitely Lived Players . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 391

C H A P T E R 1 4

Cooperation and Reputation: Applications of Repeated Interaction with Infinitely Lived Players . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 423

C H A P T E R 1 5

Interaction in Infinitely Lived Institutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 451

C H A P T E R 1 6

Evolutionary Game Theory and Biology: Evolutionarily Stable Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 479

C H A P T E R 1 7

Evolutionary Game Theory and Biology: Replicator Dynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 507

Answers to “Check Your Understanding” Questions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . S-1

Glossary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . G-1

Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . I-1

 

 

ix

Competition for Elected Office . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 The Science 84 Game . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39

2.6 Moving from the Extensive Form and Strategic Form . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39

Baseball, II . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Galileo Galilei and the Inquisition, II . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 Haggling at an Auto Dealership, II . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

2.7 Going from the Strategic Form to the Extensive Form . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42

2.8 Common Knowledge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43

2.9 A Few More Issues in Modeling Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45

Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48

Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54

C H A P T E R 3

Eliminating the Impossible: Solving a Game when

Rationality Is Common Knowledge 55

3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55

3.2 Solving a Game when Players Are Rational . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56

3.2.1 Strict Dominance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 White Flight and Racial Segregation

in Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Banning Cigarette Advertising on

Television . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60

3.2.2 Weak Dominance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Bidding at an Auction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 The Proxy Bid Paradox at eBay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66

3.3 Solving a Game when Players Are Rational and Players Know that Players Are Rational . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68

Team-Project Game . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68

Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xv

C H A P T E R 1

Introduction to Strategic Reasoning 1

1.1 Who Wants to Be a Game Theorist? . . . 1

1.2 A Sampling of Strategic Situations . . . . . 3

1.3 Whetting Your Appetite: The Game of Concentration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

1.4 Psychological Profile of a Player . . . . . . . 8

1.4.1 Preferences . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

1.4.2 Beliefs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

1.4.3 How Do Players Differ? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

1.5 Playing the Gender Pronoun Game . . . 13

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

C H A P T E R 2

Building a Model of a Strategic Situation 17

2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

2.2 Extensive Form Games: Perfect Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Baseball, I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Galileo Galilei and the Inquisition, I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Haggling at an Auto Dealership, I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

2.3 Extensive Form Games: Imperfect Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

Mugging . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit . . . . . . . 30 The Iraq War and Weapons of Mass Destruction . . . 32

2.4 What Is a Strategy? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34

2.5 Strategic Form Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Tosca . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37

Contents

 

 

Existence-of-God Game . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 Boxed-Pigs Game . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71

3.4 Solving a Game when Rationality Is Common Knowledge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73

3.4.1 The Doping Game: Is It Rational for Athletes to Use Steroids? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73

3.4.2 Iterative Deletion of Strictly Dominated Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76

Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78

Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79

3.5 Appendix: Strict and Weak Dominance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84

3.6 Appendix: Rationalizability (Advanced) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87

C H A P T E R 4

Stable Play: Nash Equilibria in Discrete Games with Two

or Three Players 89

4.1 Defining Nash Equilibrium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89

4.2 Classic Two-Player Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 Prisoners’ Dilemma . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 A Coordination Game—Driving Conventions . . . . . . . 95 A Game of Coordination and Conflict—Telephone . . 95 An Outguessing Game—Rock–Paper–Scissors . . . . . 97 Conflict and Mutual Interest in Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99

4.3 The Best-Reply Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99

4.4 Three-Player Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 American Idol Fandom . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 Voting, Sincere or Devious? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 Promotion and Sabotage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106

4.5 Foundations of Nash Equilibrium . . . 109

4.5.1 Relationship to Rationality Is Common Knowledge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109

4.5.2 The Definition of a Strategy, Revisited . 110

Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111

Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112

4.6 Appendix: Formal Definition of Nash Equilibrium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116

C H A P T E R 5

Stable Play: Nash Equilibria in Discrete n-Player

Games 117

5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117

5.2 Symmetric Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 The Sneetches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 Airline Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 Operating Systems: Mac or Windows? . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 Applying for an Internship . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128

5.3 Asymmetric Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 Entry into a Market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 Civil Unrest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134

5.4 Selecting among Nash Equilibria . . . 137

Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141

Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145

C H A P T E R 6

Stable Play: Nash Equilibria in Continuous Games 147

6.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147

6.2 Solving for Nash Equilibria without Calculus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148

Price Competition with Identical Products . . . . . . . . . 149 Neutralizing Price Competition with

Price-Matching Guarantees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 Competing for Elected Office . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154

6.3 Solving for Nash Equilibria with Calculus (Optional) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157

Price Competition with Differentiated Products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .160

Tragedy of the Commons— The Extinction of the Woolly Mammoth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164

Charitable Giving and the Power of Matching Grants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169

Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174

Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179

x CONTENTS

 

 

C H A P T E R 7

Keep ’Em Guessing: Randomized Strategies 181

7.1 Police Patrols and the Drug Trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181

7.2 Making Decisions under Uncertainty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182

7.2.1 Probability and Expectation . . . . . . . . . 182

7.2.2 Preferences over Uncertain Options . . . 185

7.2.3 Ordinal vs. Cardinal Payoffs . . . . . . . . . 186

7.3 Mixed Strategies and Nash Equilibrium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187

7.3.1 Back on the Beat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187

7.3.2 Some General Properties of a Nash Equilibrium in Mixed Strategies . . . . . 191

7.4 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .192 Avranches Gap in World War II . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193 Entry into a Market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197

7.5 Advanced Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . 198 Penalty Kick in Soccer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 198 Slash ’em Up: Friday the 13th . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201 Bystander Effect . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204

7.6 Games of Pure Conflict and Cautious Behavior . . . . . . . . . . . . . 207

Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211

Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212

7.7 Appendix: Formal Definition of Nash Equilibrium in Mixed Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .215

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 216

C H A P T E R 8

Taking Turns: Sequential Games with Perfect

Information 219

8.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219

8.2 Backward Induction and Subgame Perfect Nash Equilibrium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221

8.3 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 Cuban Missile Crisis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 Enron and Prosecutorial

Prerogative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 Racial Discrimination and Sports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229

8.4 Waiting Games: Preemption and Attrition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235

8.4.1 Preemption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 236

8.4.2 War of Attrition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238

8.5 Do People Reason Using Backward Induction? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239

8.5.1 Experimental Evidence and Backward Induction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239

8.5.2 A Logical Paradox with Backward Induction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .242

Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243

Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 244

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254

C H A P T E R 9

Taking Turns in the Dark: Sequential

Games with Imperfect Information 255

9.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255

9.2 Subgame Perfect Nash Equilibrium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257

British Intelligence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260

9.3 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263 OS/2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264 Agenda Control in the Senate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268

9.4 Commitment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270

9.4.1 Deterrence of Entry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270

9.4.2 Managerial Contracts and Competition: East India Trade in the Seventeenth Century . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277

Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280

Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 281

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289

CONTENTS xi

 

 

C H A P T E R 1 0

I Know Something You Don’t Know: Games with Private

Information 291

10.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291

10.2 A Game of Incomplete Information: The Munich Agreement . . . . 291

10.3 Bayesian Games and Bayes–Nash Equilibrium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 296

Gunfight in the Wild West . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298

10.4 When All Players Have Private Information: Auctions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301

Independent Private Values and Shading Your Bid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 302

Common Value and the Winner’s Curse . . . . . . . . . . . 304

10.5 Voting on Committees and Juries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307

10.5.1 Strategic Abstention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307

10.5.2 Sequential Voting in the Jury Room . . . 309

BSBHRM602 Manage human resources strategic planning

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Assessment 01: Research planning requirements; Develop and Implement human resource strategic plan (Project)

 

Submission details

The Assessment Task is due on the date specified by your trainer. Any variations to this arrangement

must be approved in writing by your trainer.

Submit this document with any required evidence attached. See specifications below

for details.

You must submit both soft copies and printed copies of your answers.

Soft copies-

Upload on the eLearning to the specific submission folder with a cover page clearly indicating your

name, student id, assessment no and the unit name or put those information in the header and

footer of your documents.

Printed copies-

Submit to your Trainer with the “Assessment Cover Sheet” (Filled out and signed appropriately)

attached on top of your documents.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Assessment description

This Assessment will verify the skills and knowledge of the learners to required to develop, implement and maintain a strategic approach to managing human resources in an organisation ensuring that the organisation has the structure and staff to meet current and foreseeable business and performance objectives.

This assessment requires observation / practical demonstration which can be done either in a simulated work environment set by the trainer or in a real workplace environment. Third party evidence must be provided if the observation / demonstration has been done in student’s real workplace environment. Please refer to Observation/Demonstration Checklist and Third Party Checklist & Evidence provided for this assessment.

Procedure

This is a group assessment.

Identify a workgroup in your organisation or simulated work environment, agreed to and arranged with your assessor and answer the tasks given below –

 

Tasks

Activity 1A

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to analyse strategic plans to determine human resource strategic direction, objectives and targets.

Activity Why is it important to have a human resources (HR) strategic plan? What information do you need in order to determine the HR strategic plan? Why is it important to have clear and specific HR strategic objectives?

 

 

 

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Give an example of a clear and specific HR strategic objective.

Activity 1B

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to undertake additional environmental analysis to identify emerging practices and trends that may impact on human resources management in the organisation.

Activity Why is it important to undertake additional environmental analysis when developing the HR strategic plan?

Identify an organisation with which you are familiar. This may be your own organisation or another that you and the group are familiar with. Conduct a short PESTLE analysis, identifying at least five relevant factors in each of the PESTLE categories.

 

 

 

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Activity 1C

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to identify future labour needs, skill requirements and options for sourcing labour supply.

Activity What are the key questions you need to consider when assessing the organisation’s future labour needs?

 

What are the possible sources of labour supply?

 

 

 

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Activity 1D

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to consider new technology and its impact on job roles and job design.

Activity What potential impact could new technology have on job roles and job design?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Think about a technological change that has taken place in your organisation or sector in the past. From an HR strategic planning point of view, what worked well and what were the lessons learned from this experience? How does this inform your current strategic planning activity?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Activity 1E

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to review recent and potential changes to industrial and legal requirements.

Activity Identify a forthcoming change in employment legislation. What are the implications of this for an organisation?

 

 

 

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Activity 2A

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to consult relevant managers about their human resources preferences.

Activity Why is it important to engage managers in discussions about their HR preferences, philosophies, values and policies? What methods can be used to consult with managers?

 

 

 

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Activity 2B

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to agree on human resources philosophies, values and policies with relevant managers.

Activity Imagine that you are planning a consultation meeting with a group of managers in your organisation, the purpose of which is to establish their views about the organisation’s values and HR philosophy. Create an outline agenda for this meeting.

Activity 2C

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to develop strategic objectives and targets for human resources services.

Activity What is the purpose of strategic objectives and targets for HR services?

 

 

 

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Imagine that you are the HR Manager of a small manufacturing organisation which employs 55 employees in a variety of production, warehousing, administration, sales and management roles. The organisation has ambitious plans for expansion, aiming to double its turnover within the next five years. What would be the key HR priorities for this organisation? For one of the priorities, draft a potential strategic objective.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Activity 2D

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to examine options for the provision of human resources services and analyse costs and benefits.

 

 

 

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Activity Why is it important to examine options for the provision of HR services? What are the advantages and disadvantages associated with each of the following options?

Advantages Disadvantages

External consultant

 

Outsourcing

 

Internal HR service

 

Internal non-human HR service

 

 

Merging business units

 

 

 

 

 

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Activity 2E

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to identify appropriate technology and systems to support agreed human resources programs and practices.

Activity Give three examples of technology and systems which can be used to support HR programs and practices. What are the advantages and disadvantages of each?

 

 

 

 

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Activity 2F

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to write strategic human resources plan and obtain senior management support for the plan.

Activity Why is it important to obtain senior management support for the strategic HR plan? What steps can be taken to enlist senior management support for the strategic HR plan?

 

 

 

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Activity 2G

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to develop risk management plans to support the strategic human resources plan.

Activity What factors might pose a risk to the strategic HR plan? How can risk to the implementation of the HR plan be minimised?

 

 

 

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Activity 3A

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to work with others to see that the plan is implemented.

Activity Who may be involved in the implementation of the strategic HR plan? Imagine that your strategic HR plan includes an action for a manager to lead a working party to explore different options for employee benefits. They have volunteered for this as part of their ongoing professional development. You are meeting with them to brief them on their role. Draft an outline agenda for this meeting, highlighting the key items that you would want to discuss with this person.

 

 

 

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Activity 3B

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to monitor and review the plan.

Activity Why is it important to monitor and review the implementation of the strategic HR plan? What steps can you take to monitor and review the plan?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Activity 3C

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to adapt plan should circumstances change.

Activity What changes in circumstances have you encountered which have affected the implementation of strategic HR plans? What action can be taken if circumstances change during the implementation of the plan?

 

 

 

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Activity 3D

Objective To provide you with an opportunity to evaluate and review performance against plan objectives.

Activity Why is it important to evaluate and review performance against the plan objectives? What types of data might you review in order to evaluate performance against objectives?