editing from audience s perspective take 2

What do we know about our audience?

* They are professors, academics—people who are very smart and educated, and experts in the field of literature & communication

* They are a very ARGUMENTATIVE and SKEPTICAL audience: they want to tear you argument apart! (Remember: Scientists find the truth by trying every available means of disproving their own ideas. That’s one thing scientists and writers have in common.)

* While the readers are very smart, they can’t read your mind.

* You can assume they’ve read the stories, but imagine they read the stories about a year ago. They don’t remember them PERFECTLY.

Look for places where the reader might not:

*UNDERSTAND (where they’d ask “What do you mean?” “Define that term!” “Can you give an example?”)

*BELIEVE (where they’d say: “Prove it!” “Who’s your source?” “Why do you think that?” “Why should I believe you?” “I disagree!”)

*CARE (where they’d say: “Who cares?” or “I already know that!” or “that’s obvious!” or “how does that connect to your argument?”)

Insert a note with your comment in the file. Look at every sentence, every idea, and even every word. Plan to spend 60-90 minutes doing this activity on your own draft, and try to insert at least 50 comments in your draft. Upload it here.

 

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Statistics Project – Closing Values

Go to this website. First, set the date range to begin exactly 1 year before the start of the term and to end with the day before the Monday that this course startet.  We will use 8/12/2013 through 8/11/2014   Next, click the link on the right that says Download to Spreadsheet, and save the file to your computer

 

This project will only use the Closing Values. Assume that the closing prices of the stock form a normally distributed data set. This means that you need to use Excel to find the mean and standard deviation and then use those numbers and the methods you learned in sections 5.2 and 5.3 of our text book for Normal distributions to answer the questions.

 

Complete this assignment within a single Excel file. Show your work or explain how you obtained each of your answers. Answers with no work and no explanation will receive no credit.

 

1.      If a person bought 1 share of Google stock within the last year, what is the probability that the stock on that day closed at less than the mean for that year? Hint: You do not want to calculate the mean to answer this one. The probability would be the same for any normal distribution. (4 points)

2.      If a person bought one share of Google stock within the last year, what is the probability that the stock on that day closed at more than $500? (6 points)

3.      If a person bought 1 share of Google stock within the last year, what is the probability that the stock on that day closed within $45 of the mean for that year? (6 points)

4.      Suppose a person within the last year claimed to have bought Google stock at closing at $362.50 per share. What is the probability that the stock closed at $362.50 or less on a randomly selected business day? (6 points)

5.      At what prices would Google have to close at in order for it to be considered statistically unusual? You should have a low and high value. Be sure to use the definition of unusual from the textbook. (6 points)

6.      What are Quartile 1, Quartile 2, and Quartile 3 in this data set? Use Excel to find these values. This is the only question that you should answer without using anything about the Normal distribution. (6 points)

7.       Is the normality assumption that was made at the beginning valid? Why or why not? Hint: Does this distribution have the properties of a normal distribution as described in our textbook? It does not need to be perfect. Real data sets are never perfect. However, it should be close. One option would be to construct a histogram like we did in Project 1 and see if it has the right shape. If you go this route, something in the range of 10 to 12 classes would be a good number. (6 points)

 

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POL201 Presidential Leadership and the Electoral College

Americans expect their presidents to get things done, to solve problems, to govern effectively, and to be strong leaders. The framers of the Constitution did not envision such presidential leadership. A scholar of the presidency points out that Article II of the Constitution gives the president scant formal power to influence congressional policy-making (Simon, n.d.).  He also notes that the framers intentionally designed a process for selecting presidents that would minimize their political power – the Electoral College. They hoped this institution would insulate the chief executive from the public because they feared the power of presidents who might be elected by the people. Therefore, the Constitution provides that “Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress…” Having state legislatures “appoint” the Electors who select the chief executive would minimize the president’s capacity to lead on the basis of his popular support. In a very real sense, the president would not be accountable to the people but rather to the state legislatures who appoint Electors. This procedure was also seen as a way to encourage the selection of statesmen with “characters preeminent for ability and virtue” rather than mere politicians with “talents for low intrigue, and the little arts of popularity” (Hamilton, 1788). 

The practice of state legislatures appointing Electors continued for many years. Most American history texts do not report national presidential vote totals before 1824 because 25% of the states were still not holding presidential elections by that year. Even as late as 1876 the state of Colorado’s legislature appointed Electors. As states moved away from legislative appointment to the current system of allowing a state’s Electors to be chosen by a winner-take-all popular vote, the primary rationale for the Electoral College was forgotten in history. At the same time, public expectations of strong presidential leadership were rising.  

This creates a problem well illustrated by the disputed election of 2000. George W. Bush was elected president with 271 electoral votes to Al Gore’s 266 electoral votes. However, Gore amassed 543,895 popular votes more than Bush. Also, because some disputed votes in Florida made unclear which candidate should receive the state’s electoral votes, the Florida Supreme Court ordered a full recount of the Florida vote. But the U.S. Supreme Court intervened and stopped the recount, thereby in effect awarding Florida’s electoral votes to Bush. While arguments continue to this day about the legitimacy of the U.S. Supreme Court’s intervention, the 2000 election illustrates a glaring weakness of the Electoral College system – selecting a president whose authority may be diminished by the dubious circumstances of his or her election. The election of 2000 also has fueled a long ongoing debate about whether the Electoral College should be abandoned in favor of method which insures that the candidate elected has the most popular votes. Would this outcome be more consistent with contemporary public expectations about the president’s role as a national leader who can get things done?

 

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Critical Thinking questions

Postings should be 4-5 sentences as a personal response based on personal understanding of the concepts as its mentioned in the text. The book in reference is A History of Modern Psychology by Ludden Jr.

Discussion 1: Whose theory of how childrens minds develop resonates with you? (Reference: Theory of Mind / Chapters 3 and 4)

Discussion 2: Attribution theory is a description of how people adjust their sentiments toward others to achieve a stable cognitive state. Share an example from your own life that illustrates this theory. (Attribution Theory / Chapter 5 & 6)

Discussion 3: How might their opposing views be evident in contemporary psychology?  (Reference: Trauma, Freud vs Adler / Chapter 7, 8 and 9)

Discussion 4: Consider the concept of Social Perception in Chapter 12 of the course text.  Share an example from your own life that illustrates this concept. (Reference: Social Perception Chapter 12)

Discussion 5: What similarities do you see in classical theories and current psychological thought? (Reference: Comparative Thought / Chapter 13, 14, 15)

Discussion 6: Share your understanding of neuroplasticity in neuroscience research. (Reference: Neuroplasticity / Chapter 16)