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Amazon is the business
This assignment is intended to help you learn how to apply forecasting and demand models as part of a business operations plan.
Choose 3 quantitative elements that you would like to research in relation to the organization that you selected for your business plan. These elements may be related to products, services, target market, consumer preferences, competition, personnel, resources, supply chain, financing, advertising, or other areas of interest. However, at least one of these elements should be related to a product or service that your organization is planning to offer.
Develop forecasts by implementing the following approach:
1. Collect data, including old demand forecast (subjective data) and the actual demand outcomes.
2. Establish the forecasting method (from readings). Decide on the balance between subjective and objective data and look for trends and seasonality.
3. Forecast future demand using a forecasting method.
4. Make decisions based on step 3.
5. Measure the forecast error where applicable. Look for biases and improve the process.
Write a 525- to 700-word paper evaluating the findings from the supported data points above, and explain the impact of these findings on operational decision making. Insert charts and supporting data from Excel and other tools in your paper.
Cite references to support your assignment.
3.5 UA-SERMON
Order Description
UNIT THREE INTRODUCTION
This unit is dedicated to the following identifying the fundamentals of telling a story to engage the listener. This is as much art as it is science, and the practice of storytelling is at least as old as the Bible itself.
UNIT THREE OUTCOMES
Upon completion of this unit you should be able to:
1. Analyze the components of effective storytelling from a contemporary master storyteller.
2. Examine those characteristics that detract from storytelling.
3. Identify the fundamentals of telling a story to engage the listener.
4. Model the creation of a sermon with a focus on storytelling.
UNIT THREE RESOURCES
? Textbook: The Art and Craft of Biblical Preaching
? Media Clip: A Prairie Home Companion: The News from Lake Wobegon, February 14, 2009 by Garrison Keillor https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CzF2Jw2jZd8
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UNIT THREE ASSIGNMENTS
3.1 TEXT/MEDIA: TEXTBOOK; MEDIA CLIP
INTRODUCTION AND ALIGNMENT
In our course text the authors go to some length to introduce the reader to the various aspects of stories and illustrations. This assignment aligns with the course in that storytelling and illustration are necessary components of effective biblical communication.
Upon completion of this assignment you should be able to:
? Identify the fundamentals of telling a story to engage the listener.
RESOURCES
? Textbook: The Art and Craft of Biblical Preaching
? Media Clip: A Prairie Home Companion: The News from Lake Wobegon, February 14, 2009 by Garrison Keillor https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CzF2Jw2jZd8
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
In the section of the course text you are asked to read for this assignment, the text writers highlight the following regarding storytelling and illustrations:
• How to tell a moving story
• Bringing Bible stories to life
• Suspense
• Tension
• Illustrating from culture
• Illustrating with integrity and sensitivity
• Avoiding self-centeredness in illustration
Garrison Keillor has been a part of public radio since as far back as 1974. His Public Radio show A Prairie Home Companion has an audience numbering in the millions. Of particular interest to story tellers is his standing segment during each radio show where he highlights the goings on of his fictional hometown, Lake Wobegon. Keillor excels in that he knows the idiosyncrasies of small town America, and is a master at relating those in an engaging and humorous way.
Please note – the selection of this brief media clip for you to watch is in no way an endorsement of Keillor’s lifestyle, values, word selection or political positions. You are directed to watch this only as an example of one who knows how to tell a story.
INSTRUCTIONS
1. Read the textbook, chapters 130-145.
2. View the storytelling Media Clip: A Prairie Home Companion: The News from Lake Wobegon, February 14, 2009 by Garrison Keillor
3. Feel free to consult any other scholarly sources regarding storytelling and illustration.
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3.5 UNIT ASSIGNMENT: SERMON
INTRODUCTION AND ALIGNMENT
In this assignment you will now put to practice what you have learned this week about the art and components of storytelling. This assignment aligns with the course in that it provides opportunity for the student to actually put storytelling into practice in the context of a sermon.
Upon completion of this assignment you should be able to:
? Model the creation of a sermon with a focus on storytelling.
RESOURCES
? Your Bible.
? Hebrew and Greek word study works, as well as scholarly historical and theological works.
? This week’s readings from your course text.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
The preacher does not learn how to preach by reading books and taking courses about preaching. Yes, books and courses are important. That said, just as the lawyer must go to court, just as the surgeon must pick up the scalpel, so too must the preacher actually stand before a group of people and declare God’s Word.
Now is the time for you to get alone with the Lord, take up your Bible, and ask the Holy Spirit to direct you to a passage of scripture. Choose a passage large enough to gain an adequate understanding of the text (we want to avoid isogesis), but not so large that you are overwhelmed by the amount of biblical data.
INSTRUCTIONS
1. Do a thorough study of the language (to the extent you can) and then move on to historical setting, an atlas, works of theology, and lastly commentaries. (You do not want to bias your approach to the text by first consulting commentaries.)
2. Put together a sermon including the following manner:
? the title of the message
? the biblical text
? a brief introduction
? 3 points drawn from the text, providing each point with a relevant story or illustration to aid your audience in retaining the main point you wish to make
? a brief conclusion
3. Get away from your sermon for a day or two in order to pray and reflect on it.
4. Then come back to it for finalizing in ONE of the following 3 methods:
a. Prepare a document of no less than 4 pages
5. Remember, you must show real connection between Scripture and application to culture. You must also use a minimum of 4 scholarly sources, not including your Bible or Bible notes.
NB: We do not resell papers. Upon ordering, we do an original paper exclusively for you.
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Remember is a Reflection about the class
1) Minimum 9 full pages
Minimum 3 pages per document- not words
Cover or reference page not included)
2)¨**********APA norms, please use headers
All paragraphs must be narrative and cited in the text- each paragraphs
Bulleted responses are not accepted
You can write in the first person.)
3) It will be verified by Turnitin and SafeAssign
4) Minimum 4 references not older than 5 years.
Must include:
American Association of Colleges of Nursing [AACN]. (2008). The essentials of baccalaureate education for professional nursing practice. Washington, DC: Author.
James, R. K., & Gilliland, B. E. (2013). Crisis intervention strategies (7th ed.). Belmont, CA: Thomson Brooks/Cole.
____________________________________________________________
You must submit 3 documents (each one per 3 pages).
Copy and paste will not be admitted.
You should address the questions with different wording, different references, but always, objectively answering the questions.
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Directions:
1) Introduction (minimum 1/2 page):
Write an introduction but do not use “Introduction” as a heading in accordance with the rules put forth in the Publication manual of the American Psychological Association (2010, p. 63).
Headers:
a. Course Reflection
b. Conclusion
Introduces the purpose of the reflection and addresses BSN Essentials (AACN, 2008) pertinent to healthcare policy and advocacy. (See file 1)
Purpose:
The purpose of this assignment is to provide the student an opportunity to reflect on selected RN-BSN competencies acquired through the course.
– The student will identify the different types of crisis and their impact on the patient safety and health (AACN Essentials, QSEN: safety, teamwork and collaboration, quality improvement, informatics and patient centered care).
– The student will be able to approach and safely manage patient/families in crisis.
2) Body (minimum 2 pages):
The BSN Essentials (AACN, 2008) outline a number of healthcare policy and advocacy competencies for the BSN-prepared nurse. Reflect on the course readings, discussion threads, and applications you have completed across this course and write a reflective essay regarding the extent to which you feel you are now prepared to:
1. “Integrate theories and concepts from Crisis in nursing education into nursing practice.
2. Synthesize theories and concepts from Crisis intervention to build an understanding of the human experience.
3. Use skills of inquiry, analysis, and information literacy to address practice issues related to crisis intervention
4. Use written, verbal, nonverbal, and emerging technology methods to communicate effectively.
5. Apply knowledge of social and cultural factors to the care of diverse populations in Crisis.
6. Engage in ethical reasoning and actions to provide leadership in promoting advocacy, collaboration, and social justice as a socially responsible citizen.
7. Integrate the knowledge and methods of a variety of disciplines to inform decision making during Crisis intervention and Crisis in nursing
8. Demonstrate tolerance for the ambiguity and unpredictability of the world and its effect on the healthcare system.
9. Value the ideal of lifelong learning to support excellence in nursing practice.” (p. 12).
3) Conclusion (minimum 1/2 page)
An effective conclusion identifies the main ideas and major conclusions from the body of your essay. Minor details are left out. Summarize the benefits of the pertinent BSN Essential and sub-competencies (AACN, 2008) pertaining to scholarship for evidence-based practice
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