Monte Carlo Method

 

The organization you chose in Week 1 is hosting a National Convention for all the executive staff members from all 25 international locations next week. 

The CIO requests your team of Risk Management Analyst to create and deliver the presentation on the topic, “Deterministic versus Probabilistic Risk in IT Risk Management.” As the representative of your team, you will create and deliver the presentation with an Executive Summary at one of the Executive Round Table Meetings at the convention. Additionally, the CIO stressed you use creativity to make the presentation as interesting as possible.

Research information about your chosen organization to complete this week’s assignment.

Part A:

Create a media-rich, 10-slide Microsoft® PowerPoint® presentation. Include the following: Monte Carlo planning analyses Building and running Monte Carlo models The deterministic risk assessment method  The probabilistic risk assessment method  How does the NIST risk management framework 3-tiers ensure information security (NIST SP 800-53, revision 4)?  How are data and information systems categorized?  Do not use research quotes or acronyms. You must use your own words.

Part B: 

Create a 1- to 2-page Microsoft® Word Executive Summary on this presentation. Include the following: Goals and objectives of the presentation in summary form Adequate references to support your findings, information, and opinions

Note: Media-rich presentations should include multimedia such as graphics, pictures, video clips, or audio.

Include APA-formatted citations when necessary.

Submit your assignment.

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soc450 analysis on the threats defense argument

Assignment 3b: Analysis on the Threats Defense Argument

The information you provided in your PowerPoint presentation on Threats to the Global Environment has led to productive debates at the United Nations General Assembly! Hence, they are now asking you to create an additional analysis report to respond to the issues raised in these debates.

Your fourth project as a consultant for the United Nations is to develop a report that addresses the issues raised by some of the member states of the United Nations.

Step I. Consider the Issues – In Assignment 3a, you were asked to create a PowerPoint identifying the four most critical threats out of eight threats provided in the table below.

Energy sources

Civil war

Globalization

Poor health of entire populations

Lack of educational opportunities

Cultural taboos

Inappropriate uses of technology

Climate change

There are four remaining threats that you did not discuss in your PowerPoint. This assignment will focus on those four. Here are the specific tasks you will complete:

  • Review the remaining four threats that you did not use in Assignment 3a.
  • Pick two of the four to focus on in Assignment 3b.
  • Identify the reasons why you think these two threats are less critical than the four threats you chose for your PowerPoint presentation.

Step II. Prepare Your Report

The UN has given you the following guidelines.

Introduction

Briefly introduce the topic of the analysis (about 100-150 words).

  • State the topic and intent of the paper.
  • Identify the four threats you will discuss in the paper in the order in which they appear in the paper.

Section I. Threat 1

  • Write an opening statement describing the perception of the threat.
  • Write one page giving three reasons that explain why you saw this threat as less critical than the four you chose for your presentation in Assignment 3a.
  • Support these reasons with at least three credible sources.

Section II. Threat 2

  • Write an opening statement describing the perception of the threat.
  • Write one page giving three reasons to explain why you saw this threat as less critical than the four you chose for your presentation in Assignment 3a.
  • Support these reasons with at least three credible sources.

Conclusion

  • Offer a summary (one page or less) of your defense of your choices that the United Nations can use to address their prioritization concerns.

Formatting Requirements- Your paper may consist of up to four pages (not including the cover or reference pages).Create headings for each section of your paper as follows:

Introduction

    • Threat 1 (include the name of your chosen threat)
    • Threat 2 (include the name of your chosen threat)
    • Conclusion
  • Use and cite four to six credible sources in your analysis. You may use the same source for more than one threat as long as you use a minimum of four different sources. A list of potential resources is available at the end of this course guide.
  • Make sure your paper contains both in-text citations and a source list, per SWS guidelines; refer to the Strayer Writing Standards (SWS) document for reference.
  • Include a cover page with your name, the date you submitted the paper, and your instructor’s name.

The specific course learning outcome associated with this assignment is as follows:

  • Examine the factors that account for why the growth in the world’s population can negatively affect the global society.

 

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Why is the family deemed to an important institution where cultural values are learned by the younger generation?

Answer the following questions:
MULTIPLE CHOICE (1 point possible)Intergenerational transmission of culture is said to take place primarily in which of the following societal institutions?
Family Peers School Media
When culture is described as a syndrome?
It is possible to analyze culture to its constituent parts It is possible to understand how the different complementary aspects of culture (e.g., different rules) work together It is possible to critique culture based on its function None of the above
Cultural values…
Are shared by a majority of people Can change over time Can be harbored in different ways by different individuals All of the above
Culture is thought to be adaptive because…
It ensures survival of the fittest members of the group It ensures the survival of all members It engenders cooperative behavior through designation of roles It ensures the survival of all members and it engenders cooperative behavior through designation of roles
WRITTEN RESPONSE QUESTIONS
Why is the family deemed to an important institution where cultural values are learned by the younger generation? Explain?Are cultural values, rules, and norms necessarily adaptive? Why? How is it possible to assess the adaptiveness of culture? Provide Examples.Compare and contrast the conceptions of culture as a system and culture as a syndrome. Which approach do you support and why?What other factors, categories, or social phenomena can be confused and confounded with or mistaken for culture? Explain.

write a 250 words essay based on the following materials

Go to the Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis FRED database (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/). Search for “real GDP” in the search bar. Then, click on the series called “Percent Change from Preceding Period, Quarterly, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate.” In the screen that follows you’ll have a graph of the growth rate of U.S. real GDP. Select the maximum amount of data by clicking on “max.” Take a screenshot of this graph and paste it into a Word file.

Now, return to the main page of FRED and search instead for “Federal Funds Rate.” Click on “Effective Federal Funds Rate.” In the screen that follows you’ll have a graph of the U.S. federal funds rate. Select once more the “max” option. Then, click on “Edit Graph.” Under “Modify frequency” select “quarterly” and close the “Edit Graph” menu. Take a screenshot of this graph and paste it in the same Word file you pasted in the earlier graph.

In both graphs, the shaded areas denote recessionary periods. Moreover, we have both series at quarterly frequency, so the behavior of one can be compared to that of the other.

In the remainder of the Word file, evaluate the following. What relationship do you see, if any, between the federal funds rate and the growth rate of GDP? Does any one relationship change in recessions versus expansions? Why do you think there is or isn’t any relationship between these variables? Are there any particular periods during which the behavior of these variables seems abnormal and/or exhibits more of a pattern than average or less of a pattern than average, conditional on there being a pattern to begin with? This is an essay question, so your response should be in that spirit. Your response should be single spaced, 250 words minimum, 300 words maximum.

 

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