Forecasting

Using the Northern College Health Services visit volume in Appendix 6-1 on page 113 of the textbook, for this assignment, you will be providing a forecast of the number of clinic visits for November 2008 using the average change, confidence interval, average percent change, moving averages, and exponential smoothing forecasting methods. Use the Internet or Strayer Library to research at least two (2) examples of the forecasting methods being used in health services organizations.
Write a two to three (2-3) page paper in which you:
Explain each step in the forecasting process for each method.
Provide a brief summary of your researched health services organizations implementing the forecasting methods.
Provide a forecast of the number of clinic visits for November 2008 using each method of the forecasting process.
Conclude which forecasting method provides the best forecast, and provide a rationale for your conclusion.
Your assignment must follow these formatting requirements:
Be typed, double spaced, using Times New Roman font (size 12), with one-inch margins on all sides; citations and references must follow APA or school-specific format. Check with your professor for any additional instructions.
Include a cover page containing the title of the assignment, the students name, the professors name, the course title, and the date. The cover page and the reference page are not included in the required assignment page length.
The specific course learning outcomes associated with this assignment are:
Evaluate forecasting strategies and methods.
Use technology and information resources to research issues in quantitative methods for health services.
Write clearly and concisely about quantitative methods for health services using proper writing mechanics.

House on Mango Street

Prompt:.  Marriage is often seen as a prison in this work.  I have seen the potential for abuse in both cases.  Some women seem to dominate the men in marriages and in other cases the men dominate the women.  Is marriage seen more as the ownership of another human being rather than an equal partnership?  I have heard some people simply get married because of the tax benefits all the way to getting married because they truly loved each other and saw it as a sacred and holy commitment.  How do you view marriage?  What is an ideal marriage in your eyes?

understanding film

On the movies The Royal Tenenbaums (2001) and The Grand Budapest Hotel by Wes Anderson

After looking at several examples of directors who have signature styles, I want you to look through the list and select a director. The four directors are all very different from each other, which allows each of you to watch films that are of interest to you individually. Once you know which director you want to focus on, choose two movies they made and watch them. As you watch the film you should note the following:
Questions for consideration:
What do you notice about their style? What aspects of cinematography and mise-en-scene do you see they use a lot? What does their signature style do for the film (does it make it better? Worse?) How do you feel about their style?
Instructions:
You will be writing a 3-page compare and contrast essay on the two films you watched. You must find three aspects that you will be analyzing. Each point should have its own paragraph, and you need to include a conclusion at the end where you discuss how you felt about the style.

concert report

In accordance with the requirements of the College of Letters, Arts, and Social Sciences for GE
courses, a formal writing assignment is required, which for our course will be in the form of a
concert report. The concert attended may be of any genre, and may be either a live or recorded
event. Students are encouraged to seek out genres with which they are less familiar. The
focal-point of the event must be listening to the music, i.e. not background entertainment at a pub
or restaurant.
The Concert Report is due on Monday, May 11, by 11:59 PM. Submission via Turnitin on
Blackboard is required; hard copies are not accepted. Late work cannot be accepted, even for
partial credit. Students are encouraged to contact the instructor in advance to address any
questions related to the concert report, including feedback on early drafts. The concert report
could include the following elements:
Genre; what style was heard?
Instrumentation; which instruments were used?
Did different instruments play simultaneously or separately?
Describe tempo, dynamics, and overall mood
Personal reactions to the music (positive or negative, and why)
Biographical information on one (1) composer from the program (please only list
elements relevant to a musical career, such as education, concertizing, compositions, etc.)
The report must be typed in a standard font (such as Times New Roman), font size 12 or smaller,
with all margins one inch or smaller. It must be double-spaced, and 4-6 pages in length (not
including title page, and a bibliography is not required). In order to conserve resources and
improve organization, only electronic submissions via Turnitin on Blackboard are accepted.